10 Jan 2023
10 Jan 2023
Status: this preprint is open for discussion.

The Mediterranean forecasting system. Part I: evolution and performance

Giovanni Coppini1, Emanuela Clementi2, Gianpiero Cossarini3, Stefano Salon3, Gerasimos Korres4, Michalis Ravdas4, Rita Lecci1, Jenny Pistoia2, Anna Chiara Goglio2, Massimiliano Drudi1, Alessandro Grandi1, Ali Aydogdu2, Romain Escudier2,5, Andrea Cipollone2, Vladyslav Lyubartsev1, Antonio Mariani1, Sergio Cretì1, Francesco Palermo1, Matteo Scuro1, Simona Masina2, Nadia Pinardi6,7, Antonio Navarra6,8, Damiano Delrosso9, Anna Teruzzi3, Valeria Di Biagio3, Giorgio Bolzon3, Laura Feudale3, Gianluca Coidessa3, Carolina Amadio3, Alberto Brosich3, Arnau Miró10, Eva Alvarez3, Paolo Lazzari3, Cosimo Solidoro3, Charikleia Oikonomou4, and Anna Zacharioudaki4 Giovanni Coppini et al.
  • 1Ocean Predictions and Applications Division, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Italy
  • 2Ocean Modeling and Data Assimilation Division, Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Italy
  • 3Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e di Geofisica Sperimentale (OGS), Italy
  • 4Hellenic Centre for Marine Research (HCMR), Greece
  • 5Mercator Océan International, France
  • 6Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Bologna, Italy
  • 7Department of Physics and Astronomy, Università di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
  • 8Department of Biological, Geological and Environmental Sciences (BIGEA), Università di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
  • 9Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV), Italy
  • 10Barcelona Supercomputing Center, Barcelona (BSC), Spain

Abstract. The Mediterranean Forecasting Systems produces operational analyses, reanalyses and 10-day forecasts for many Essential Ocean Variables (EOVs), from currents, temperature to wind waves and pelagic biogeochemistry. The products are available at a horizontal resolution of 1/24 degrees (approximately 4 km) and 141 unevenly spaced vertical levels.

The core of the Mediterranean Forecasting System is constituted by the physical (PHY), the biogeochemical (BIO) and the wave (WAV) components coupled offline, consisting of both numerical models and data assimilation modules. The 3 components together constitute the so-called Mediterranean Monitoring and Forecasting Center (Med-MFC) of the Copernicus Marine Service.

Daily 10-day forecasts are produced by the PHY, BIO and WAV components as well as analyses, while reanalyses are produced for the past 30 years about every ~3 years and extended (yearly). The modelling systems, their coupling strategy and evolution is illustrated in detail. For the first time, the quality of the products is documented in terms of skill metrics evaluated on a common three-year period (2018–2020), giving the first complete assessment of uncertainties for all the Mediterranean environmental variable analyses.

Giovanni Coppini et al.

Status: open (until 07 Mar 2023)

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2022-1337', George Zodiatis, 24 Jan 2023 reply

Giovanni Coppini et al.

Giovanni Coppini et al.


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Short summary
The paper presents the Mediterranean forecasting system evolution and performance developed in the framework of the Copernicus Marine Service.