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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-884</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Brief Communication: Structured Virtual Expert Panels for Interdisciplinary Ideation in Natural Hazard Science</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chang</surname>
<given-names>Jui-Ming</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1552-2744</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ron</surname>
<given-names>Nativ</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5978-946X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhou</surname>
<given-names>Qi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yiin</surname>
<given-names>Shang Jyh</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil Engineering, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 30010, Taiwan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Disaster Prevention and Water Environment Research Center, National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University, Hsinchu 300, Taiwan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Géosciences Rennes, University of Rennes, Rennes 6118, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Data Decision.ai, Taipei 100, Taiwan</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>20</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>9</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Jui-Ming Chang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-884/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-884/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-884/egusphere-2026-884.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-884/egusphere-2026-884.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>We present a virtual expert panel workflow for early-stage interdisciplinary ideation in natural hazard research. Using the Six Thinking Hats framework, a moderator questions multiple virtual experts to elicit points of consensus, contested assumptions, knowledge gaps, and follow-up clarifications. We demonstrate this workflow using a debris-flow monitoring case at the Illgraben, Switzerland. The panel highlights concept drift: year-to-year environmental change shifts the link between seismic signals and event labels and reduces machine-learning generalization. The output motivates ideas on deployment-realistic evaluation, including time-ordered data splits for training and testing, and forward-chaining validation. The workflow provides a traceable record for hypothesis formulation.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="9"/></counts>
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