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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-737</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Extratropical teleconnections in a multi-model ensemble nudged towards the observed QBO</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Andrews</surname>
<given-names>Martin B.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Butchart</surname>
<given-names>Neal</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Anstey</surname>
<given-names>James A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bednarz</surname>
<given-names>Ewa</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7441-0497</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Elsbury</surname>
<given-names>Dillon</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>García-Franco</surname>
<given-names>Jorge L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kumar</surname>
<given-names>Vinay</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3582-7625</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Palmeiro</surname>
<given-names>Froila M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4120-6174</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Trencham</surname>
<given-names>Natasha E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yoshida</surname>
<given-names>Kohei</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2422-5584</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chai</surname>
<given-names>Zhaoyang</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8064-9066</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hong</surname>
<given-names>Dong-Chan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Huang</surname>
<given-names>Kai</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jaison</surname>
<given-names>Aleena M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kawatani</surname>
<given-names>Yoshio</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3260-8830</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15">
<sup>15</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Knight</surname>
<given-names>Jeff R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lin</surname>
<given-names>Pu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff16">
<sup>16</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff17">
<sup>17</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lott</surname>
<given-names>François</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2126-5510</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff18">
<sup>18</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lu</surname>
<given-names>Yixiong</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9823-9367</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff19">
<sup>19</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Naoe</surname>
<given-names>Hiroaki</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6261-0854</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Osprey</surname>
<given-names>Scott M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8751-1211</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff20">
<sup>20</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff14">
<sup>14</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Richter</surname>
<given-names>Jadwiga H.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff21">
<sup>21</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Serva</surname>
<given-names>Federico</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7118-0817</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff22">
<sup>22</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Son</surname>
<given-names>Seok-Woo</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2982-9501</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tang</surname>
<given-names>Qi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2959-0203</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff23">
<sup>23</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Watanabe</surname>
<given-names>Shingo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff15">
<sup>15</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff24">
<sup>24</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Xie</surname>
<given-names>Jinbo</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3003-9155</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff23">
<sup>23</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff25">
<sup>25</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Met Office Hadley Centre (MOHC), Exeter, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Victoria, British  Columbia, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO,  USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory (CSL), Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Escuela Nacional de Ciencias de la Tierra, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, México</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Radio and Atmospheric Physics Lab, Rajdhani College, University of Delhi, New Delhi, India</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Department of Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, Columbia University</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>Earth System Numerical Simulation Science Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences,  Beijing 100029, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff14">
<label>14</label>
<addr-line>Atmospheric, Oceanic and Planetary Physics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff15">
<label>15</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Environmental Earth Science, Hokkaido University</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff16">
<label>16</label>
<addr-line>Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff17">
<label>17</label>
<addr-line>Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory(NOAA), Princeton, NJ, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff18">
<label>18</label>
<addr-line>Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (LMD)/IPSL, Paris, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff19">
<label>19</label>
<addr-line>Earth System Modeling and Prediction Centre, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff20">
<label>20</label>
<addr-line>National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff21">
<label>21</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff22">
<label>22</label>
<addr-line>Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche, Institute of Marine Sciences (CNR-ISMAR), Rome, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff23">
<label>23</label>
<addr-line>Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff24">
<label>24</label>
<addr-line>Advanced Institute for Marine Ecosystem Change (WPI-AIMEC), Tohoku University, Sendai, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff25">
<label>25</label>
<addr-line>High Meadows Environmental Institute (HMEI), Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>19</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>33</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Martin B. Andrews et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-737/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-737/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-737/egusphere-2026-737.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-737/egusphere-2026-737.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO), the dominant mode of interannual variability of monthly-mean zonal winds and temperatures in the equatorial stratosphere, has a significant influence on the circulation in other regions of the stratosphere and troposphere in boreal winter. To better understand these teleconnections, results from twelve models are analysed for three complementary experiments in which the QBO is either internally generated by the models (free-running), nudged towards the observed QBO, or nudged towards the observed climatology. For the multi-model ensemble mean we assess how well the free-running experiment captures the observed teleconnections, and whether the simulated teleconnections improve when the models have a more realistic QBO.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The observed relationship between the QBO phase and the strength of the boreal winter Polar Night Jet is weakly captured by the free-running experiment. This relationship is strengthened when the models are nudged towards the observed QBO, primarily because a larger proportion of the models exhibit this relationship. Both free-running and nudged-QBO experiments capture a robust but small and insignificant increase in Sudden Stratospheric Warning (SSW) frequency during the QBO-easterly phase. Neither experiment captures the observed QBO influence on the timings of SSWs during winter nor the QBO teleconnection to the North Atlantic Oscillation. Nudging the QBO does, however, influence the latitudinal profile of the North Pacific sub-tropical jet and strength of tropical precipitation.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We find that a more realistic representation of the QBO is beneficial for certain teleconnections, but that effective teleconnections are ultimately reliant on how well the models respond to the QBO.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="33"/></counts>
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<funding-source>HORIZON EUROPE Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions</funding-source>
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<funding-source>Japan Society for the Promotion of Science</funding-source>
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<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
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<funding-source>National Key Research and Development Program of China</funding-source>
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<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
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<funding-source>National Research Foundation of Korea</funding-source>
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