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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-6804</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Single-scattering albedo drives Saharan dust forcing uncertainty and the simulated West African monsoon response in CMIP6 models</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kang</surname>
<given-names>Wooseok</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4236-3016</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Myong-In</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8983-8624</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kim</surname>
<given-names>Kyu-Myong</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Boo</surname>
<given-names>Kyung-On</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chang</surname>
<given-names>Pil-Hun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Hyomee</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil, Urban, Earth and Environmental Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science  and Technology, Ulsan, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, MD, United States</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Climate Change Research Team, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Jeju, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>12</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>35</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Wooseok Kang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-6804/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-6804/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-6804/egusphere-2026-6804.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-6804/egusphere-2026-6804.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Mineral dust affects the West African energy balance and monsoon circulation, yet climate models differ widely in the dust optical properties that set the balance between scattering and absorption. As a result, models disagree even on whether dust produces net shortwave (SW) warming or cooling over North Africa. Here we show that Saharan single-scattering albedo (SSA), an observable intensive optical property, accounts for much of the inter-model spread in the shortwave dust forcing response across climate models. The Saharan SW effective radiative forcing due to aerosol&amp;ndash;radiation interactions (&lt;strong&gt;ERF&lt;sub&gt;ari&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;sup&gt;SW&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;) decreases systematically with increasing SSA, shifting from near-zero or positive values in lower-SSA, more absorbing models to negative values in higher-SSA, more scattering models. Applying an Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET)-based observational constraint on SSA, 0.9543 &amp;plusmn; 0.0060, gives a constrained Saharan &lt;strong&gt;ERF&lt;sub&gt;ari&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;sup&gt;SW&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/strong&gt; centered near zero at &amp;minus;0.66 W m&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;2&lt;/sup&gt;, with a 95 % interval of &amp;minus;3.87 to +2.53 W m&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;2&lt;/sup&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Grouping the models by SSA reveals two contrasting monsoon responses to the same dust-emission perturbation. Low-SSA models show stronger atmospheric heating over the Sahara, a deeper heat low, enhanced monsoon inflow, and increased Sahel rainfall, whereas High-SSA models show a weaker or opposite response and reduced rainfall. The associated cloud-radiative response forms a Sahel&amp;ndash;tropical North Atlantic dipole. Propagating the SSA-based constraint on the &lt;strong&gt;ERF&lt;sub&gt;ari&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;sup&gt;SW&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/strong&gt; through the relationship between Saharan &lt;strong&gt;ERF&lt;sub&gt;ari&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;sup&gt;SW&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/strong&gt; and Sahel cloud-radiative response reduces its inter-model variance by about one third. Thus, an observable dust optical property constrains a significant part of the downstream monsoon and cloud-response uncertainty.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Institute of Meteorological Sciences</funding-source>
<award-id>KMA2018-00321</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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