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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5874</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>State and parameter estimation for Ronne Ice Shelf over 1992&amp;ndash;2018</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cheng</surname>
<given-names>Daniel</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5247-7113</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fenty</surname>
<given-names>Ian</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6662-6346</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Larour</surname>
<given-names>Eric</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Adhikari</surname>
<given-names>Surendra</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1021-6860</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering, University of California Los Angeles, CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>24</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Daniel Cheng et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5874/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5874/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5874/egusphere-2026-5874.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5874/egusphere-2026-5874.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Projections of sea level change require ice sheet models that reconcile observations with ice flow dynamics to constrain poorly observed processes and parameters. We use the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) to construct a state and parameter estimate of Ronne Ice Shelf (RIS) and its drainage basin from 1992 to 2018. We assimilate time-varying observations of surface velocity and elevation change to reconstruct a dynamically consistent model of time-mean basal friction and ice rheology, and sub-shelf basal melting rates. Relative to existing methods, we reduce uncertainty weighted root mean square errors (RMSE) in elevation change and velocity by 21.2 % and 43.6 %, respectively. Our inferred basal melt estimates capture spatio-temporal patterns driven by ocean currents at 5 km spatial resolution, and match monthly amplitudes 43.1 % closer to observations relative to existing estimates. Detrended mass change in the upstream grounded basin also correlates with Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE-GFZ) estimates (&lt;em&gt;R&lt;/em&gt; = 0.754). This physically-consistent 26-year reconstruction provides a framework for applications to Antarctica and beyond, with implications for prognostic modeling and future sea level projections.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="24"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Aeronautics and Space Administration</funding-source>
<award-id>Crysophere</award-id>
<award-id>Physical Oceanograpy</award-id>
<award-id>Modeling, Analysis, and Prediction (MAP)</award-id>
<award-id>NASA Sea Level Change Team (N-SLCT)</award-id>
<award-id>Earth Modeling Nexus</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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