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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5824</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Strengthening Wet Anomalies over the Maritime Continent during El Ni&amp;ntilde;o in Boreal Winter</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Prawira</surname>
<given-names>Rizma Dwinanda</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Abdillah</surname>
<given-names>Muhammad Rais</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2426-0547</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Meteorology Study Program, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Technology, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, 40132,  Indonesia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Atmospheric Science Research Group, Faculty of Earth Sciences and Technology, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, 40132, Indonesia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Center for Climate Change, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, 40132, Indonesia</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>13</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>28</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Rizma Dwinanda Prawira</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5824/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5824/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5824/egusphere-2026-5824.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5824/egusphere-2026-5824.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The Maritime Continent rainfall typically shows negative anomalies during El Ni&amp;ntilde;o. However, during boreal winter, the rainfall response to El Ni&amp;ntilde;o is spatially heterogeneous, with a few areas experiencing positive anomalies. This study investigates whether the wintertime ENSO-rainfall relationship is stationary or has undergone long-term modulation using multiple precipitation datasets, climate reanalyses, and linearized climate model experiments. A sensitivity analysis across 26 climate-period pairs identifies 1981&amp;ndash;2006 (P1) and 2007&amp;ndash;2025 (P2) as the periods exhibiting the largest change in the ENSO-rainfall relationship. During P1, ENSO&amp;ndash;rainfall correlations were predominantly negative, with patches of weak positive correlations over the western Maritime Continent. During P2, the positive correlations were substantially amplified and spatially expanded, indicating wetter conditions during El Ni&amp;ntilde;o when much of the Maritime Continent experiences its wet season. The enhanced wet anomalies were consistent with increased moisture flux convergence over the equatorial Maritime Continent, driven by a weakened western North Pacific anticyclone and a strengthened anticyclone south of Java. Linear baroclinic model experiments suggest that these circulation changes were primarily attributable to changes in ENSO-induced SST anomalies rather than changes in the long-term background climate, with the changes around the Maritime Continent better reproduced when Indian Ocean SST anomalies were incorporated. The nonstationary ENSO-rainfall relationship shows no clear association with decadal-to-interdecadal climate modes but may be related to the increased relationship between El Ni&amp;ntilde;o and Ningaloo Ni&amp;ntilde;a along the west coast of Australia.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="28"/></counts>
</article-meta>
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