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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5713</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Hydroclimatic instability during the late Roman Warm Period&amp;ndash;early Dark Ages Cold Period transition in the eastern Mediterranean</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kolbüken</surname>
<given-names>Mesut</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2927-3542</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ünal İmer</surname>
<given-names>Ezgi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2387-4283</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Huang</surname>
<given-names>Chun-Yuan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shen</surname>
<given-names>Chuan-Chou</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>High-Precision Mass Spectrometry and Environment Change Laboratory (HISPEC), Department of Geosciences,  National Taiwan University, Taipei, 106319, Taiwan, ROC</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geological Engineering, Ankara University, 06830 Ankara, Türkiye</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>14</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>19</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Mesut Kolbüken et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5713/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5713/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5713/egusphere-2026-5713.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5713/egusphere-2026-5713.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Here we present a stalagmite-based annual-resolved hydroclimate record, with a mean sampling resolution of 1.1 yr, spanning 154&amp;ndash;529 CE from B&amp;ouml;rtl&amp;uuml;ce Cave, western T&amp;uuml;rkiye, encompassing the latter part of the Roman Warm Period (RWP) and the transition into the early Dark Ages Cold Period. During the late RWP, elevated Mediterranean Sea surface temperature (SST) likely enhanced cyclone activity and moisture transport, promoting persistently humid conditions. The subsequent transition from 290 to 430 CE was characterized by pronounced multi-decadal hydroclimatic variability, likely reflecting the combined influences of Mediterranean SSTs, large-scale atmospheric circulation associated with the North Atlantic Oscillation, and solar variability. The reconstructed humid conditions broadly coincide with the period of prosperity and territorial expansion of the Roman Empire, whereas the following increase in hydroclimatic instability may have amplified the environmental stresses during the decline of the Western Roman Empire. Our findings highlight the complex interplay among Mediterranean SST, atmospheric circulation, volcanic eruption, and solar forcings in shaping the eastern Mediterranean hydroclimate through the early Common Era.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="19"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Science and Technology Council</funding-source>
<award-id>114-2116-M-002-016-MY3</award-id>
<award-id>114-2811-M-002-071</award-id>
<award-id>115-2811-M-002-094</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Academia Sinica</funding-source>
<award-id>AS-TP-113-L04</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>National Taiwan University</funding-source>
<award-id>115L7512</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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