<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5690</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>A standardized rainfall extremity index for equitable flash-flood warning in South Korea</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kwak</surname>
<given-names>Misook</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ahn</surname>
<given-names>Hyunjun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yoon</surname>
<given-names>Sanghoo</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4790-0148</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Statistics, Chonnam National University, Gwangju 61186, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Korea Hydro &amp; Nuclear Power Co., Ltd., Gyeongju 38120, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>G-LAMP Institute, Chonnam National University, Gwangju 61186, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>20</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>37</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Misook Kwak et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5690/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5690/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5690/egusphere-2026-5690.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5690/egusphere-2026-5690.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Conventional Intensity&amp;ndash;Duration&amp;ndash;Frequency (IDF) curves quantify rainfall depth at fixed durations. We develop their event-based dual&amp;mdash;the Modified Inter-Amount Time (&lt;em&gt;M-IAT&lt;/em&gt;), the duration for cumulative precipitation within an event to reach a critical depth&amp;mdash;and derive a Standardized Torrential Rainfall Index (STRI) by mapping &lt;em&gt;M-IAT&lt;/em&gt; to a normal-quantile scale through extreme-value theory. Hourly precipitation from 65 Automated Synoptic Observing System (ASOS) stations in South Korea (1990&amp;ndash;2024) is analysed under stationary and non-stationary Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) and Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) models, with temporal dependence removed by a Ferro&amp;ndash;Segers-verified cluster-minimum construction. Both shape parameters concentrate in the bounded reverse-Weibull domain (&lt;span style=&quot;position: relative;&quot;&gt;&amp;xi;&lt;sup class=&quot;up&quot; style=&quot;position: absolute; top: 0px; left: 2px;&quot;&gt;&amp;circ;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; &amp;lt; 0); with the GEV shape Winsorized at the regularity boundary &lt;span style=&quot;position: relative;&quot;&gt;&amp;xi;&lt;sup class=&quot;up&quot; style=&quot;position: absolute; top: 0px; left: 2px;&quot;&gt;&amp;circ;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt; = &amp;minus;1, the GEV and GPD shapes agree closely (median |&amp;Delta;&lt;span style=&quot;position: relative;&quot;&gt;&amp;xi;&lt;sup class=&quot;up&quot; style=&quot;position: absolute; top: 0px; left: 2px;&quot;&gt;&amp;circ;&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/span&gt;| = 0.18). The &lt;em&gt;magnitude&lt;/em&gt; of &lt;em&gt;M-IAT&lt;/em&gt; extremes is largely stationary&amp;mdash;trends survive at only 3.1 % (GEV) and 5.6 % (GPD) of combinations, and only one GEV combination after multiplicity correction&amp;mdash;whereas exceedance &lt;em&gt;frequency&lt;/em&gt; trends positive at all nine critical values. This signal is not significant in the 35-year record but becomes significant across all critical values when extended to 1975&amp;ndash;2024: intensification here manifests as more frequent, not larger, fast-accumulation events. Against precipitation-independent impact records from the national disaster yearbook, the event-level peak STRI is significantly rank-correlated with casualties (Spearman &lt;em&gt;&amp;rho;&lt;/em&gt; = 0.56) and property losses (&lt;em&gt;&amp;rho;&lt;/em&gt; = 0.46) over 27 events. STRI is proposed not as a hindsight competitor to precipitation totals but as a station-standardised diagnostic: its normal-quantile scale renders one threshold comparable across differing climatologies, and &lt;em&gt;M-IAT&lt;/em&gt; is monitorable prospectively as rainfall accumulates. &lt;em&gt;Equity&lt;/em&gt; here denotes between-station consistency of detection, not social or demographic fairness: a warning rule is equitable if, at a fixed alarm budget, its probability of capturing a damage day is independent of station wetness. At a matched damage-capture rate (recall = 0.60), recall under an absolute-depth threshold rises with wetness (Spearman &lt;em&gt;&amp;rho;&lt;/em&gt; = +0.32, p = 0.009; the national advisory depth was met on only 53.9 % of damage station&amp;ndash;days); under a fixed STRI threshold the dependence vanishes (&lt;em&gt;&amp;rho;&lt;/em&gt; = 0.00, p = 0.99) and the between-station spread of recall narrows from 0.18 to 0.13. Operational use requires local threshold calibration and a prospective, nowcasting-based demonstration of skill.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="37"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Ministry of Education</funding-source>
<award-id>RS-2024-00442775</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>