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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5593</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The Effect of Large Animal Removal or Protection under the Future of Climate Change</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Krause</surname>
<given-names>Jens</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8533-8198</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Anthoni</surname>
<given-names>Peter</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5459-6506</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Harfoot</surname>
<given-names>Mike</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Svenning</surname>
<given-names>Jens-Christian</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3415-0862</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Arneth</surname>
<given-names>Almut</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6616-0822</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, IMK-IFU, Campus-Alpin, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Vizzuality UK, Gwydir St, Cambridge CB1 2LJ, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Center for Ecological Dynamics in a Novel Biosphere (ECONOVO), Department of Biology, Aarhus University, Denmark</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, IfGG, Karlsruhe, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>01</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>28</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Jens Krause et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5593/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5593/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5593/egusphere-2026-5593.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5593/egusphere-2026-5593.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Large mammal populations are declining worldwide, yet their impact as biotic drivers of terrestrial carbon and energy exchange with the atmosphere remains poorly represented in ecosystem modelling approaches. Animal processes, like herbivory and predation, shape vegetation structure and composition that governs photosynthetic carbon uptake. This influence is rarely quantified relative to other drivers like climate change and rising CO2 levels. Here, we apply a generic, process-based, multi-trophic modelling framework that integrates the two models LPJ-GUESS and Madingley. Using this framework, we simulated the impact of large herbivore and carnivore removal across two European and two African biomes, under both constant climate conditions and climate change scenarios.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Under constant climate, the removal of large herbivores increased leaf biomass, a proxy for canopy photosynthetic capacity. However, the impacts of climate change, including changes in atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; on leaf biomass were much larger. In contrast, the removal of large carnivores reduced leaf biomass, reflecting the release of herbivores from predation and subsequent increases in their abundance. In African biomes, this effects rivals those of a low-warming climate change scenario.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To investigate recovery potential, we compared African savanna simulations with and without neighbouring grid cells with modelled trophic structures intact. We found that herbivore biomass could only recover in the vicinity of such protected areas. Our findings underscore the importance of conserving large mammal populations under climate change.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="28"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>Changing Earth Programme</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>European Commission</funding-source>
<award-id>GA 101081251</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Danmarks Grundforskningsfond</funding-source>
<award-id>DNRF173</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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