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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5488</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Tighter Control of AVOCs/NOx atop Carbon Neutrality Mitigations for China to Meet WHO Ambient Ozone Standard</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Zhen</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>He</surname>
<given-names>Yicong</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ruan</surname>
<given-names>Ning</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ge</surname>
<given-names>Xinlei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Energy and Environment, Southeast University, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210096, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Regional Environment and Sustainability, School of Environment, Tsinghua  University, Beijing, 100084, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, 100084, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>11</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>35</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Zhen Li et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5488/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5488/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5488/egusphere-2026-5488.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5488/egusphere-2026-5488.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Tropospheric ozone (O₃) remains a persistent air quality challenge in China, and it is uncertain whether deep precursor emission cuts aligned with carbon neutrality can secure the World Health Organization (WHO) ozone guideline of 60 &amp;mu;g m⁻&amp;sup3; across all major urban agglomerations. Here we simulate summertime MDA8 O₃ over China&amp;rsquo;s five largest urban agglomerations using CMAQv5.5 under a range of emission scenarios, including a national synergistic emission reduction strategy (NSERS) that reduces NOₓ and anthropogenic VOCs by 40 % and 30 % in 2030, and by 90 % and 50 % in 2060, relative to 2020. To address remaining exceedances, we introduce an exceedance-driven local emission homogenization (O₃-LEH) method that constrains precursor emissions in non-attainment grid cells by the mean of nearby compliant cells. NSERS lowers cluster-mean MDA8O₃ to 41&amp;ndash;72 &amp;mu;g m⁻&amp;sup3; by 2060, but residual exceedances above the WHO guideline persist in high-emission hotspots, mainly in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Yangtze River Delta regions. The O₃-LEH adjustments further reduce O₃ in these hotspots, yet only partially eliminate exceedances. Relative incremental reactivity diagnostics reveal a systematic transition from VOC-limited regimes in 2020 toward NOₓ-limited regimes in 2060, accompanied by a sharp increase in the AVOC/NOₓ ratio. Our results indicate that uniform national emission reductions alone cannot guarantee full attainment of the WHO ozone guideline, and that spatially differentiated, hotspot-targeted controls are a necessary complement to deep decarbonization.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="35"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>22361162668</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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