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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5476</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>What controls tropospheric carbon monoxide in the remote Southern Hemisphere?</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nussbaumer</surname>
<given-names>Clara M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5662-8476</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Heald</surname>
<given-names>Colette L.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2894-5738</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Campos</surname>
<given-names>Teresa</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7226-3569</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kort</surname>
<given-names>Eric A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Krummel</surname>
<given-names>Paul B.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4884-3678</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Langenfelds</surname>
<given-names>Ray L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Madronich</surname>
<given-names>Monica</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McKain</surname>
<given-names>Kathryn</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8323-5758</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pétron</surname>
<given-names>Gabrielle</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Stavert</surname>
<given-names>Ann</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wofsy</surname>
<given-names>Steven C.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science (IAC), ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling (ACOM) Laboratory, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric Chemistry, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>CSIRO Environment, Aspendale, Victoria, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, Colorado, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory, Boulder, Colorado, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>11</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>38</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Clara M. Nussbaumer et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5476/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5476/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5476/egusphere-2026-5476.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5476/egusphere-2026-5476.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The remote extratropical Southern Hemisphere (SH) has the cleanest atmosphere on Earth, but is subject to rapid changes regarding the emissions landscape and a warming climate, which strongly impact local atmospheric composition. Carbon monoxide (CO) is a product of methane (CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;) oxidation and a modulator of the tropospheric oxidizing capacity. In this study we investigate if the rapid increase in tropospheric CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; levels of &amp;sim;7 % between 2008 and 2022 has driven a positive response in CO in the remote SH, based on multi-platform observations and a global chemistry transport model. We find inconsistencies in observations from aircraft, surface and satellite. CSIRO surface flask observations, AGAGE in-situ measurements (2008&amp;ndash;2022) and airborne observations from the HIPPO (2009&amp;ndash;2011) and ATom (2016&amp;ndash;2018) campaigns show CO increases of 5&amp;ndash;10 %. CO columns inferred from IASI (2014&amp;ndash;2023) show more moderate increases of 3&amp;ndash;4 % (statistically insignificant). NOAA surface flask observations and CO columns from MOPITT (2008&amp;ndash;2022) do not show changes over time. GEOS-Chem simulations are consistent with the observed positive trend, exhibiting a significant CO increase of &amp;sim;7 % throughout the southern extratropical troposphere (2008&amp;ndash;2022). These CO increases are partly driven by enhanced production from rising CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; (&amp;sim;50 %) and further affected by increases in biogenic non-methane volatile organic compounds (NMVOC) (&amp;sim;45 %) and the direct effects of rising temperatures (&amp;sim;5 %). We further explore how simulated CO levels in the remote SH could be impacted by future enhancements in primary and precursor emissions, changes in the oxidizing capacity, and temperature.</p>
</abstract>
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