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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5460</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>On the Range of Marine Cloud Brightening Radiative Forcing across Earth System Models</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hirasawa</surname>
<given-names>Haruki</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8249-8364</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>von Salzen</surname>
<given-names>Knut</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Henry</surname>
<given-names>Matthew</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4498-6476</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Smith</surname>
<given-names>Josh</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bender</surname>
<given-names>Frida A.-M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4867-4007</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Cindy</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6783-1672</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Doherty</surname>
<given-names>Sarah</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wood</surname>
<given-names>Robert</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1401-3828</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rasch</surname>
<given-names>Philip J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5125-2174</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Haywood</surname>
<given-names>James</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2143-6634</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric and Climate Science, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Mathematics, University of Exeter, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Meteorology and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>31</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Haruki Hirasawa et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5460/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5460/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5460/egusphere-2026-5460.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5460/egusphere-2026-5460.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Marine cloud brightening (MCB) is a solar radiation modification method that involves using injections of sea salt aerosol (iSSA) particles to increase cloud albedo and cool surface climate. Earth system models (ESMs) are crucial tools for projecting the potential climate response to MCB, but they must represent many key aerosol and cloud processes using parameterizations that are often poorly constrained and can vary substantially. Here, we conduct simulations in six ESMs, plus four alternate modified parameterizations versions, to compute effective radiative forcing (ERF) from MCB iSSA emissions in three subtropical regions. We a find large range in ERF across the nine models with appropriate aerosol activation, with iSSA mass emissions to get -2 Wm&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;2&lt;/sup&gt; ranging from 7 Tg yr&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;1&lt;/sup&gt; to 93 Tg yr&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;1&lt;/sup&gt; in models. The emitted iSSA size distribution drives much of this spread, as the ESMs use median modal radii ranging from 28.1 nm to 72.5 nm, resulting in major differences in CCN concentration. Forcing from aerosol-cloud interactions drives the majority of the total ERF below about -2 Wm&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;2&lt;/sup&gt; across seven of ten models. At high emission rates, the aerosol-cloud forcing saturates, but the direct aerosol forcing continues to increase sufficiently quickly such that there is no regime in which additional appropriately-sized iSSA emissions would cause warming in any of the ESMs. After accounting for iSSA size distribution, the spread in aerosol-cloud interaction forcing is mainly due to differences in cloud adjustments at low emission rates and mainly due to cloud droplet activation saturation at high emission rates.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="31"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Quadrature Climate Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>N/A</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Vetenskapsrådet</funding-source>
<award-id>2025-03620</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Svenska Forskningsrådet Formas</funding-source>
<award-id>2025-02013</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs4">
<funding-source>Swedish e-Science Research Centre</funding-source>
<award-id>N/A</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs5">
<funding-source>Cooperative Institute for Climate, Ocean, and Ecosystem Studies, University of Washington</funding-source>
<award-id>NA20OAR4320271</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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