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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-5051</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Brief communication: Simulations indicate, the multi-year drought of 2018&amp;ndash;2023 could have happened in the 1960s</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bothe</surname>
<given-names>Oliver</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6257-8786</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS), Helmholtz-Zentrum Hereon, Fischertwiete 1, 20095 Hamburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>29</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>13</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Oliver Bothe</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5051/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5051/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5051/egusphere-2026-5051.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-5051/egusphere-2026-5051.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Duration and intensity of the multi-year drought of 2018&amp;ndash;2023 had not been anticipated in Germany. Self-calibrating Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) data calculated from EURO-CORDEX regional climate simulations shows multi-year, high-intensity droughts occurring over large portions of Germany throughout the period 1950 to 2100. Although droughts lasting about 5.5 years and affecting more than half of Germany like the observed 2018&amp;ndash;2023 event are rare in the simulations, even longer and more intense large-scale droughts occur. Consequently, multi-year large scale drought was part of the past climatology for Germany and projections stress the necessity to build resilience to comparable and even more impactful events.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="13"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>European Commission</funding-source>
<award-id>101081377</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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<back>
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