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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4943</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Coupling Tree-Ring Blue Intensity and Carbon Isotope (&amp;delta;&lt;sup&gt;13&lt;/sup&gt;C) Reveals Shifting Climate Change Drivers on Tree Growth in Kurdistan Forests, Northern Iraq</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mohammed</surname>
<given-names>Khalat Fadhil</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Claeys</surname>
<given-names>Philippe</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4585-7687</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kolo</surname>
<given-names>Kamal</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Climate Change and Sustainability Research Centre, Soran University, Soran, 44008, Kurdistan Region, IRAQ</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Archaeology, Environmental Changes &amp; Geo-Chemistry, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Pleinlaan 2, 1050 Brussel, Belgium</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Pacific Centre for Isotope and Geochemical Research, Dept. Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, University of British  Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z4 (2329 West Mall), Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Petroleum Geoscience, Soran University, Soran, 44008, Kurdistan Region, IRAQ</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>28</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>39</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Khalat Fadhil Mohammed et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4943/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4943/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4943/egusphere-2026-4943.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4943/egusphere-2026-4943.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>This study investigates the relationships between climate changes and growth in semi-arid forests located in the Kurdistan Region of northern Iraq by utilizing tree-ring Blue Intensity (BI) parameters alongside stable carbon isotopes (&amp;delta;&amp;sup1;&amp;sup3;C). The sensitivity of detrended tree-ring width (TRW), earlywood blue intensity (EWBI), latewood blue intensity (LWBI), and delta blue intensity &amp;Delta;BI to temperature, precipitation, and physiological responses are measured on three species of tree &lt;em&gt;Quercus aegilops, Juglans regia&lt;/em&gt; and &lt;em&gt;Fraxinus&lt;/em&gt;. Tree-ring Blue Intensity chronologies for 100 years, are used to look at climate-growth interactions over time for all three species. Results show a dominant temperature control on wood formation. EWBI is correlates with temperature (r &amp;asymp; 0.37, p &amp;lt; 0.001) and with precipitation in &lt;em&gt;Quercus aegilops&lt;/em&gt;, whereas &amp;Delta;BI is a positive temperature proxy (r &amp;asymp; 0.37, p &amp;lt; 0.001), this shows that when years are warmer, the density contrast of earlywood and latewood is increased. In &lt;em&gt;Juglans regia&lt;/em&gt;, the strongest temperature sensitivity in TRW is found in LWBI (r &amp;asymp; -0.45, p &amp;lt; 0.001). The positive correlation of &amp;Delta;BI with &amp;delta;&amp;sup1;&amp;sup3;C (r &amp;asymp; 0.30, p &amp;lt; 0.01) indicates a positive structural and physiological response to drought stress. The TRW sensitivities of &lt;em&gt;Fraxinus&lt;/em&gt; are weaker (r = 0.128 in Erbil, r = 0.122 in Duhok), and the temperature BI(EW-LW) relationships are negative and significant (r &amp;asymp; -0.340, p &amp;lt; 0.01) (r &amp;asymp; -0.280, p &amp;lt; 0.01). Wavelet coherence analysis indicates a shift in the growth trend from precipitation-driven growth prior to ~1980 to the temperature-related growth thereafter, with increasing non-stationarity and episodic drought signatures. The integrated BI-&amp;delta;&amp;sup1;&amp;sup3;C approach captures anatomical and physiological adjustment, revealing that recent warming led to a decrease in radial growth, less earlywood development and changed wood density structure across species. The results show the potential of BI as an effective indicator of detecting climate-driven ecosystem shifts and temperature variability.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Vrije Universiteit Brussel</funding-source>
<award-id>OZR Basisfinanciering voor Grote Onderzoeksgroepen - AMGC</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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