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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4938</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Structural divergence between satellite and surface CO observations across China, North America, and Europe (2015&amp;ndash;2024)</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tang</surname>
<given-names>Zhaojun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jiang</surname>
<given-names>Zhe</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0086-7486</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yang</surname>
<given-names>Panpan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chen</surname>
<given-names>Jiaqi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fu</surname>
<given-names>Pingqing</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6249-2280</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Shen</surname>
<given-names>Yanan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Surface–Earth System Science, School of Earth System Sciences, Tianjin University, Tianjin, 300072, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Anhui Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Hefei, Anhui, 230031, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, Anhui, 230026, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>27</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>30</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Zhaojun Tang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4938/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4938/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4938/egusphere-2026-4938.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4938/egusphere-2026-4938.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Satellite and surface observations of atmospheric carbon monoxide (CO) yield divergent emission estimates, yet the underlying causes of this discrepancy remain poorly understood. Here we present a multi-region analysis spanning 2015&amp;ndash;2024 over China, North America, and Europe, assimilating MOPITT satellite retrievals and ground-based CO measurements from over 3300 monitoring stations. Our results reveal that the systematic underestimation of modeled surface CO is a common feature across all three continents, with median observation-to-model ratios of 1.82 (China), 1.65 (North America), and 2.25 (Europe). This bias progressively diminishes from urban to rural sites, by 44 % in North America and 58 % in Europe, and almost disappears at remote sites, demonstrating that representation error is an important driver of the surface-model mismatch. In contrast, comparisons of column CO between MOPITT and model show no systematic underestimation. Assimilation experiments further illuminate the structural nature of this divergence: while surface-data assimilation greatly improves agreement with in situ observations, it introduces a positive column bias relative to MOPITT. This bias is most pronounced over China and Europe but remains modest over North America, and accordingly the decadal trends from surface CO show a sharp decline in China (-5.92 % yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;) vs. plateaus after 2018 and 2016 in North America and Europe, while satellite-derived column trends are substantially weaker. Our multi-region analysis demonstrates that the satellite-surface discrepancy is a structurally embedded feature of the observing system, and advocates for joint utilization of both observation platforms in future inversion studies to achieve robust and self-consistent CO emission estimates.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>42277082</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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