<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4785</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Volcanically Forced Cooling over the last 600 years in Northern Patagonia</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wilson</surname>
<given-names>Rob</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4486-8904</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mundo</surname>
<given-names>Ignacio</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Marshall</surname>
<given-names>Lauren</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1471-9481</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Reid</surname>
<given-names>Emily</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sigl</surname>
<given-names>Michael</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schmidt</surname>
<given-names>Anja</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Timmreck</surname>
<given-names>Claudia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5355-0426</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fang</surname>
<given-names>Shih-Wei</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3763-7753</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Abernethy</surname>
<given-names>Rory</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Daux</surname>
<given-names>Valerie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Villalba</surname>
<given-names>Ricardo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth &amp; Environmental Sciences, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Laboratorio de Dendrocronología e Historia Ambiental, IANIGLA-CONICET, Mendoza, Argentina</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad Nacional de Cuyo, Mendoza, Argentina</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University, Durham, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Environmental Physics &amp; Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IPA), German Aerospace Center (DLR), Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Meteorological Institute, Ludwig Maximilian University of Munich, Munich, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Yusuf Hamied Department of Chemistry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Central University, Taoyuan, 320317, Taiwan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Stirling, Stirling, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Laboratoire des Sciences du climat et de l’Environnement, CNRS-CEA-UVSQ-Université Paris-Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>28</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>45</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Rob Wilson et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4785/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4785/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4785/egusphere-2026-4785.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4785/egusphere-2026-4785.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>We present the first tree-ring (TR) based summer surface temperature reconstruction (1382&amp;ndash;2017) for the Southern Hemisphere that expresses strong volcanically forced cooling. The Northern Patagonia (NPAT) reconstruction is based on ring-width (RW) and Blue Intensity (BI) parameters measured from &lt;em&gt;Araucaria&lt;/em&gt; &lt;em&gt;araucana&lt;/em&gt; trees sampled from 6 locations across the middle to southern end of the species&apos; range in Argentina. This multi-TR-parameter reconstruction explains 53 % of the summer surface temperature variance (1903&amp;ndash;2017), which is on par with the fidelity of density or mixed TR parameter-based reconstructions from the Northern Hemisphere. The reconstruction coheres strongly with surface mean air temperatures for a large region in South America, including sea surface temperatures well into the southeastern Pacific. The warmest 10-year period is 2008&amp;ndash;2017, corresponding to the last ten years of the reconstruction, while the coldest period is 1455&amp;ndash;1464. The coldest reconstructed austral summer is 1971, followed by 1460. For both the NPAT reconstruction and a range of model simulations, superposed epoch analysis, using significant tropical eruptions since the 1400s, indicates a significant post-eruption T+1 mean surface cooling of ca. 0.4&amp;ndash;1.0 &amp;deg;C, depending on which volcanic events are used. The degree of relative cooling is on par, or even stronger, with the cooling represented by individual TR records used in the Northern Hemisphere N-TREND reconstruction suggesting that the volcanic response in northern Patagonia over the last 6 centuries is equivalent, or even more extreme, to what is observed in many Northern Hemisphere locations. Our results indicate that the use of ring-density parameters is of paramount importance for assessing past volcanically forced cooling in the Southern Hemisphere, but the dating and seasonality of the eruptions as well as the continentality and mid-latitude location of the woodland sites may also be important factors for capturing the signal of volcanic cooling.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="45"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Fondation BNP Paribas</funding-source>
<award-id>THEMES project</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Natural Environment Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/S000887/1</award-id>
<award-id>NE/W007223/1</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>FOR2820, Grant 398006378</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs4">
<funding-source>Institute for Basic Science</funding-source>
<award-id>IBS-R028-D1</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs5">
<funding-source>Ministerio de Ciencia, Tecnología e Innovación</funding-source>
<award-id>Red Clima-Bosque contribution N° 8</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs6">
<funding-source>Horizon 2020 Framework Programme</funding-source>
<award-id>820047</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>