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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4524</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Humanitarian Needs in a Protracted Crisis: Systemic Impact of the June 2026 Venezuelan Earthquakes</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>García Guzmán</surname>
<given-names>Lester Fidel</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2517-1151</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hasan</surname>
<given-names>Mehedi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7746-102X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Tekleberhan Weldesilasie</surname>
<given-names>Esrom</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0003-5849-1383</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Durá Vicaria</surname>
<given-names>Lucia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0004-9730-3733</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jiménez Ramírez</surname>
<given-names>Yonathan Josué</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0002-4319-8195</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Eriksson</surname>
<given-names>Anneli</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm Sweden, SE-171 65</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Global Disaster Medicine - Health Needs and Response - Johan von Schreeb&apos;s research group</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>12</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>19</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Lester Fidel García Guzmán et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4524/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4524/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4524/egusphere-2026-4524.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4524/egusphere-2026-4524.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The Venezuelan humanitarian crisis is a protracted emergency characterized by systemic stagnation. This study measures the trend of humanitarian needs from 2020 to 2026 using the 7eed framework. The severity score reached a plateau of 16.5 (High Severity); additionally, the 2026 Need Score (130.5) represents an official baseline projection formulated prior to the June 24 seismic events. The twin earthquakes caused an estimated $37 million in losses and added 1.3 million people to the 2026 population in need.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;This methodology identified a significant correlation between the collapsed health system and crisis stagnation at a high-severity level. The Syrian emergency serves as the most accurate comparative proxy for managing this health system collapse. Addressing a health system collapsed prior to seismic events requires holistic strategies; isolated, disaster-focused interventions risk becoming temporary solutions that deepen the crisis.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Comparing pre- and post-disaster severity and need scores validates the utility of this model in recognizing acute disaster impacts within a protracted emergency. Medium- and long-term planning must adopt a Triple Nexus approach, integrating humanitarian aid, peacebuilding, and development. Ultimately, utilizing the Need Score to guide funding allocation presents a critical opportunity to reduce human suffering by overcoming inefficiencies inherent in delayed emergency decision-making.</p>
</abstract>
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