<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4506</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>A cold-season temperature reconstruction for central Japan since 259 CE from a two-millennia Kiso&lt;em&gt; Chamaecyparis&lt;/em&gt; ring-width chronology</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yonenobu</surname>
<given-names>Hitoshi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1596-7543</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ohyama</surname>
<given-names>Motonari</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hoshino</surname>
<given-names>Yasuharu</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0006-6655-3929</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Katata</surname>
<given-names>Genki</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yasue</surname>
<given-names>Koh</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Suzuki</surname>
<given-names>Shin'ya</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nagai</surname>
<given-names>Akio</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hirano</surname>
<given-names>Junpei</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hasegawa</surname>
<given-names>Naoko</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Graduate School of Education, Naruto University of Education, Naruto 772–8502, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Botanical Gardens, Tohoku University, Sendai 980–0862, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Nara National Research Institute for Cultural Properties, Nara 630–8577, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>The Canon Institute for Global Studies, Tokyo 100–6511, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Agriculture, Shinshu University, Minami Minowa 399–4598, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, Komazawa University, Tokyo 154–8525, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Humanities and Culture, Showa Women’s University, Tokyo 154–8533, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Core Research, Ochanomizu University, Tokyo 112–8610, Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>07</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>25</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Hitoshi Yonenobu et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4506/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4506/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4506/egusphere-2026-4506.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4506/egusphere-2026-4506.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>We present an annually dated reconstruction of previous November&lt;span&gt;&amp;ndash;&lt;/span&gt;April (pNov&lt;span&gt;&amp;ndash;&lt;/span&gt;Apr) temperature in central Japan from an expanded, provenance-aware Kiso &lt;em&gt;Chamaecyparis&lt;/em&gt; ring-width chronology. The numerical chronology spans more than two millennia, but formal climatic interpretation is conservatively limited to 259 CE onward because replication and common-signal strength are lower and less continuous earlier. The primary model relates current-year ring-width index to a regional Chubu rural/background temperature anomaly series incorporating eight stations over 1912&lt;span&gt;&amp;ndash;&lt;/span&gt;2023 (&lt;em&gt;n &lt;/em&gt;= 112), yielding &lt;em&gt;r&lt;/em&gt; = 0.416, adjusted &lt;em&gt;R&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;&lt;/em&gt; = 0.165, and RMSE = 0.789 &lt;span&gt;&amp;deg;&lt;/span&gt;C. In seven annual split-period tests predefined in the frozen workflow, reduction of error (RE) and coefficient of efficiency (CEff) are positive in six. RE and CEff are also positive in all four formally evaluable G21 high-pass splits. No centered G21 or G51 low-pass split is formally evaluable under the leakage-safe boundary and effective-sample-size criteria; the smoothed curves are therefore used as persistence summaries rather than as independently verified low-frequency reconstructions. Synthetic tests recover an imposed 51-year signal with median &lt;em&gt;r &lt;/em&gt;= 0.972, gain slope = 0.909, and zero median phase lag. Rule-based screening identifies two sustained G21-tail candidates: 1999&lt;span&gt;&amp;ndash;&lt;/span&gt;2015 CE is retained with conditional support of 1.000 and adequate interval-specific SSS, whereas 1458&lt;span&gt;&amp;ndash;&lt;/span&gt;1473 CE is not retained because its support is 0.744, below the 0.800 threshold. Spatial correlations and comparisons with documentary snowfall, sea-surface temperature, and circulation indices support a regional winter-climate interpretation but are not independent validation or attribution. The reconstruction provides directly tested annual and sub-21-year information together with a cautiously interpretable view of multidecadal persistence since 259 CE.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="25"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Japan Society for the Promotion of Science</funding-source>
<award-id>25K00544</award-id>
<award-id>24K00152</award-id>
<award-id>25H00503</award-id>
<award-id>24K04414</award-id>
<award-id>24K04405</award-id>
<award-id>24H00118</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>