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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-436</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Comparing calving laws at Greenland&amp;rsquo;s three largest ice shelves</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Barnett</surname>
<given-names>Jamie</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8982-0034</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Holmes</surname>
<given-names>Felicity A.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9822-826X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Greenwood</surname>
<given-names>Sarah L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Morlighem</surname>
<given-names>Mathieu</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5219-1310</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kirchner</surname>
<given-names>Nina</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6371-5527</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jakobsson</surname>
<given-names>Martin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9033-3559</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geological Sciences, Stockholm University, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Sciences, Dartmouth College, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Tarfala Research Station, Stockholm University, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>27</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Jamie Barnett et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-436/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-436/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-436/egusphere-2026-436.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-436/egusphere-2026-436.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The retreat of Greenlandic glaciers through calving has major implications for the ice sheet&apos;s mass balance and future sea-level rise contributions. Despite its importance, the implementation of calving in ice sheet models remains contested, with several calving laws suggested to parametrise this process. While the performance of some of these calving laws has been tested for Antarctic ice shelves and Greenland&apos;s grounded outlet glaciers, it is unclear which calving law would best capture the observed behaviour of Greenland&apos;s ice shelves. Petermann, Ryder, and Nioghalvfjerdsbr&amp;aelig; (79N) glaciers are fronted by Greenland&apos;s three largest ice shelves, accounting for 90 % of the remaining floating ice and buttressing ~15 % of the ice sheet&apos;s mass. Here we build on other systematic calving studies by comparing five calving laws at Greenland&apos;s three largest ice shelves using the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM). We begin by constraining the performance of each law against observed terminus fluctuations between 2008 and 2024, and continue with projections to 2300 under various climate forcings. When evaluated against observed terminus changes, we recommend the use of a von Mises or Crevasse Depth calving law owing to their consistent performance and similar tuning parameters across the three ice shelves. However, in our extended projection runs, we find that calving parametrisations have little influence on grounding line discharge rates, which are instead driven by the choice of climate forcings. Large ice shelf calving or collapse events are scarce, and only in these rare cases do we find any pronounced grounding line response. Our results indicate either continued buttressing potential from Greenland&apos;s ice shelves into the coming centuries or fundamental flaws in the current set of calving laws that involve calibrating to contemporary ice-shelf behaviour.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Vetenskapsrådet</funding-source>
<award-id>2021-04512</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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