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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4307</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Technical note: Assessing CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; fluxes over Greece using CTDAS-WRF &amp;ndash; A sensitivity analysis</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gialesakis</surname>
<given-names>Nikos</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Reum</surname>
<given-names>Friedemann</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2488-6582</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Daskalakis</surname>
<given-names>Nikos</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Evangelou</surname>
<given-names>Ioanna</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0008-8912-0397</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bougiatioti</surname>
<given-names>Aikaterini</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mermigkas</surname>
<given-names>Marios</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gkini</surname>
<given-names>Maria</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mihalopoulos</surname>
<given-names>Nikolaos</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Balis</surname>
<given-names>Dimitrios</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1161-7746</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Eleftheriadis</surname>
<given-names>Konstantinos</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2265-4905</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Vrekoussis</surname>
<given-names>Mihalis</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8292-8352</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kanakidou</surname>
<given-names>Maria</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1724-9692</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Laboratory for Modeling and Observation of the Earth System (LAMOS), Institute of Environmental Physics, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Chemical Processes Laboratory (ECPL), Department of Chemistry, University of Crete,  Heraklion, Greece</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt, Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Meteorology and Geophysics, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Environmental Research and Sustainable Development, National Observatory of Athens, Athens,  Greece</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Laboratory of Atmospheric Physics, School of Physics, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki,  Greece</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Nuclear and Radiological Science &amp; Technology, Energy &amp; Safety N.C.S.R. &quot;Demokritos&quot;, Ag. Paraskevi, Attiki, Greece</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Center of Marine Environmental Sciences (MARUM), University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Climate and Atmosphere Research Center (CARE-C), The Cyprus Institute, Nicosia, Cyprus</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>CSTACC, ICE-HT, FORTH, Patras, Greece</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>15</day>
<month>10</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>27</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Nikos Gialesakis et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4307/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4307/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4307/egusphere-2026-4307.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4307/egusphere-2026-4307.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; is a key driver of climate change and knowledge of its emissions is a prerequisite for climate mitigation. CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions over Greece in 2019 are assessed using a regional atmospheric inversion framework based on the CarbonTracker Data Assimilation Shell coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model (CTDAS-WRF). Ground-based CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; measurements from an urban background site (Thissio), a regional background site (Finokalia), and a high-altitude station (Helmos), together with satellite-derived column-averaged CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; observations from OCO-2, are assimilated to optimize CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions by allowing 50 % of uncertainty on CAMS anthropogenic CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; emissions. Biospheric and fire fluxes are kept fixed. Sensitivity tests of localization length and anthropogenic emissions uncertainty assess parameter choices and results robustness. For 600 km localization, annual posterior anthropogenic emissions over Greece are 55.6 &amp;plusmn; 1.9 Mt, close to CAMS prior (55.0 Mt) and below EDGAR (61.5 Mt) and Greece&apos;s reported total (65.7 Mt). The corresponding total CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; net flux over Greece is 118.3 &amp;plusmn; 1.9 Mt. Since natural fluxes are not optimized, inferred adjustments cannot be attributed solely to anthropogenic emissions. Optimization reduces mean model bias by 80 % and RMSE by about 40 % at Thissio. This study demonstrates a CTDAS-WRF framework for regions with strong mesoscale variability and complex airflow. Urban background observations strongly reduce emission uncertainty around Athens, while regional background observations inform long-range transport and have less effect on local emission inversions. Denser observation network is therefore needed covering major local emission sources. Future work should optimize anthropogenic emissions jointly with biospheric and fire fluxes.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>HORIZON EUROPE Widening Participation and Strengthening the European Research Area</funding-source>
<award-id>101071247</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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