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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4237</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Ice-sheet evolution controlled by meltwater connectivity across ice-shelf gaps</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jesse</surname>
<given-names>Franka</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0003-1928-6969</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lambert</surname>
<given-names>Erwin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7537-6385</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Berends</surname>
<given-names>Constantijn J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2961-0350</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van de Wal</surname>
<given-names>Roderik S. W.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Princetonplein 5, 3584 CC Utrecht, The  Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), Utrechtseweg 297, 3731 GA, De Bilt, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht University, Utrecht, 3584 CB, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>02</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>16</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Franka Jesse et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4237/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4237/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4237/egusphere-2026-4237.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4237/egusphere-2026-4237.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>In regions of intense sub-shelf melting, ice shelves can substantially weaken, potentially leading to the formation of gaps within the ice shelf. Using a coupled ice-sheet&amp;ndash;meltwater-layer model, we investigate two end-member representations of meltwater transport across such gaps: meltwater either exits the cavity (sink) or remains dynamically connected across ice-free regions (connected). For an idealised ice-sheet&amp;ndash;ice-shelf geometry based on the MISMIP+ framework, our results show that gaps form under both moderate (0 &amp;deg;C at depth) and warm (1 &amp;deg;C at depth) ocean forcing, driven by enhanced melting associated with a strong western boundary current. When gaps are treated as sinks, downstream melting is suppressed. In contrast, retaining meltwater connectivity allows heat and momentum to propagate downstream, enhancing further ice-shelf thinning along the western shear margin. This thinning reduces stress transmission between the ice shelf and the grounded ice, resulting in greater ice-volume loss in the connected configuration. The difference in ice-volume loss between the two meltwater representations can be comparable in magnitude to that caused by a 1 &amp;deg;C increase in ocean temperature forcing. These results highlight meltwater connectivity across ice-shelf gaps as an important source of uncertainty in projections of ice-sheet evolution and mass loss.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management</funding-source>
<award-id>the Knowledge Programme Sea Level Rise</award-id>
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<funding-source>Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek</funding-source>
<award-id>OCENW.KLEIN.515</award-id>
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