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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4100</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Identifying regions of Europe which may be less prepared for extreme rainfall</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Thompson</surname>
<given-names>Vikki</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Coughlan de Perez</surname>
<given-names>Erin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7645-5720</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Heinrich</surname>
<given-names>Dorothy</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8521-1522</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van der Wiel</surname>
<given-names>Karin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9365-5759</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hawkins</surname>
<given-names>Ed</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schurer</surname>
<given-names>Andrew</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH9 3JW, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Friedman School of Nutrition Science and Policy, Tufts University, Boston, 02111, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6ET, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, The Hague, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, RG6 6ET, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>20</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Vikki Thompson et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4100/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4100/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4100/egusphere-2026-4100.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4100/egusphere-2026-4100.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Societal preparedness to extreme rainfall events varies geographically. We present a method to assess assumed preparedness based on observational data alone, investigating record daily rainfall across Europe. To define assumed preparedness, we use two metrics: 1) how recently the record daily rainfall occurred; and 2) how extreme the current record was. In locations where the record occurred further in the past, societal memory of the impacts may have faded, possibly reducing people&amp;rsquo;s interest in preparedness for extreme rainfall. In regions where the current record was not very extreme, a record-smashing event is statistically more likely, yet the region has not experienced such an event so may be less adequately prepared. We show that cities such as Sofia, Barcelona, Munich, and Amsterdam may have low levels of assumed preparedness. Such locations could benefit from communication about possible risks that the population might not be aware of, encouraging adaptation before a record-breaking event arrives.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>UK Research and Innovation</funding-source>
<award-id>22/CC/11103</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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