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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-4000</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>A rainfall estimation ensemble method using a cGAN for SEVIRI geostationary satellite data</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Janner</surname>
<given-names>Selina</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0004-2331-9011</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Polz</surname>
<given-names>Julius</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5910-3037</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Glawion</surname>
<given-names>Luca</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7371-0834</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kunstmann</surname>
<given-names>Harald</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chwala</surname>
<given-names>Christian</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4583-3327</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research - Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), Campus Alpin, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research - Atmospheric Trace Gases and Remote Sensing (IMK-ASF), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Geography, University of Augsburg, Augsburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>19</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>25</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Selina Janner et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4000/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4000/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4000/egusphere-2026-4000.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-4000/egusphere-2026-4000.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Geostationary satellites (GEOs) provide real-time information on the atmosphere and can be used for quantitative precipitation estimation (QPE) with low latency. The relation between GEO observations and precipitation is complex, though, limiting QPE performance.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Here we present a conditional generative adversarial network (cGAN) to perform QPE using data from SEVIRI infrared and water vapor channels. The model is trained with precipitation maps derived from the German radar network (RADKLIM-YW).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The model is evaluated in Germany for a separate time period and compared with the operational GEO QPE product PDIR-Now. Our main findings are: 1. The cGAN produces more realistic precipitation structures and intensities (including high precipitation rates) and has a higher location accuracy then the benchmark product; 2. Ensemble predictions are spatially under dispersed, uncertainty in precipitation intensity is captured better than uncertainty in precipitation location. Ensemble spread and other limitations, such as spurious amplified errors at extreme intensities, do not substantially reduce the overall skill improvements over the benchmark product.&amp;nbsp;Future work should focus on extending the framework across a other geographic domains to assess generalization under varying viewing geometries and precipitation regimes.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="25"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>541482432</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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