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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3993</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Medium-term urban business recovery after COVID-19: cross-country evidence after the outbreak</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kajitani</surname>
<given-names>Yoshio</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3110-7436</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Watson</surname>
<given-names>Maria</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chang</surname>
<given-names>Stephanie E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Botha</surname>
<given-names>Elsamari</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9546-1285</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Buijs</surname>
<given-names>Sophie L.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5627-6941</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Darnkachatarn</surname>
<given-names>Siriporn</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Derakhshan</surname>
<given-names>Sahar</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>de Ruiter</surname>
<given-names>Marleen</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5991-8842</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kim</surname>
<given-names>Juri</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Malinen</surname>
<given-names>Sanna</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2203-7464</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Walker</surname>
<given-names>Bernard</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4947-2696</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Engineering and Design, Kagawa University, 2217-20 Hayashi-cho, Takamatsu, Kagawa 761-0396,  Japan</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>M.E. Rinker, Sr. School of Construction Management, University of Florida, 304 Rinker Hall, Gainesville, FL  32611, United States</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>School of Community and Regional Planning (SCARP) and Institute for Resources, Environment and  Sustainability (IRES), University of British Columbia, 6333 Memorial Road, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z2, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>UC Business School, University of Canterbury, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch 8140, New Zealand</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Environmental Studies, Water and Climate Risk Department, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, De  Boelelaan 1111, 1081 HV Amsterdam, the Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>School of Public Health, Walailak University, 222 Thaiburi, Thasala District, Nakhon Si Thammarat 80160,  Thailand</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Geography and Anthropology, College of Letters, Arts, and Social Sciences, California Polytechnic State  University, 1 Grand Avenue, San Luis Obispo, CA 93407, United States</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>School of Community and Regional Planning (SCARP), University of British Columbia, 6333 Memorial Road,  Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z2, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>28</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Yoshio Kajitani et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3993/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3993/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3993/egusphere-2026-3993.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3993/egusphere-2026-3993.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>To identify factors associated with medium-term business recovery, this study analyzes large-scale survey data on businesses located in diverse urban contexts around the world. While most studies of business recovery focus on the short term, the factors influencing short-term recovery may differ from those important in the medium term. This study provides cross-country evidence four to five years after the COVID-19 outbreak, based on a survey of 3,454 firms across seven global regions, including major cities in Canada, the United States, the European Union, New Zealand, South Africa, Thailand, and Japan, with 35 % of firms located in downtown districts.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Across 26 variables, including policy measures, business characteristics, and strategies, several consistent patterns emerge. Non-governmental mentoring and training show the strongest positive association with sales recovery, exceeding the effects of loans and subsidies, highlighting the importance of non-financial support. By contrast, smaller firms (1&amp;ndash;19 employees) exhibit persistently lower recovery levels and rely more heavily on personal funds, indicating structural vulnerability. While some conventional comparisons align with prior expectations, substantial heterogeneity is observed across regions and sectors. In particular, regional context and sectoral composition significantly influence the effectiveness of adaptation and policy measures. These findings provide new cross-country and urban-level evidence on medium-term SME recovery and highlight the importance of tailored, region- and sector-specific policy design to strengthen business resilience against future systemic shocks.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Government of Canada</funding-source>
<award-id>NFRFR-2022-00514</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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