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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3736</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Microstructural Heterogeneity Drives Tracer-Specific Systematic Bias in Darcy-Scale Flux Estimation</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Baek</surname>
<given-names>Ji-Young</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5433-3316</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Park</surname>
<given-names>Byeong-Hak</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rau</surname>
<given-names>Gabriel Christopher</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4641-5255</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Kang-Kun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Univ Rennes, CNRS, Géosciences Rennes, UMR 6118, 35000 Rennes, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Disposal Performance Demonstration R&amp;D Division, Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute, Daejeon 34057, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Earth Science Discipline - School of Science, The University of Newcastle, Callaghan NSW 2308, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul 08826, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>These authors contributed equally to this work.</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>07</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>36</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Ji-Young Baek et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3736/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3736/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3736/egusphere-2026-3736.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3736/egusphere-2026-3736.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Complex microstructures are commonly simplified to a single continuum for interpreting Darcy-scale heat and solute transport, and tracers are often treated as interchangeable proxies for flux estimation. However, the specific impacts of microstructural heterogeneity on tracer-specific bias regimes remain poorly understood. We conducted controlled laboratory solute and heat tracer experiments using four sands with distinct grain size distributions, combined with micro-CT imaging and topological analysis of a controlled endmember pair. Although Darcy-scale analytical models reproduced observed breakthrough curves with excellent fidelity (mean &lt;em&gt;R&lt;/em&gt;&amp;sup2; &amp;gt; 0.99, NRMSE &amp;lt; 0.037), tracer-derived fluxes systematically underestimated independently measured Darcy fluxes in a tracer-specific manner. Solute fluxes were linearly underestimated by ~25 % in the more heterogeneous sands, correlating with right-skewed pore-size distributions (skewness = 0.781) and non-Gaussian breakthrough behavior. In contrast, heat fluxes were nonlinearly and velocity-dependently underestimated, reaching up to 45 % (including 19 % spatial variability in volumetric heat capacity) in the most heterogeneous medium, with the solute-to-heat divergence ratio increasing with flow velocity. Micro-CT analysis revealed that the sand mixture possessed a more negative Euler number (&amp;minus;9,210 vs. &amp;minus;6,288) and exhibited representative elementary volume instability, indicating that tortuous pore connectivity amplifies local thermal non-equilibrium under fast flow. Conventional geostatistical metrics (e.g., Mat&amp;eacute;rn smoothness) failed to distinguish these structural differences. These findings demonstrate that microstructural heterogeneity imposes physics-dependent, systematic biases that are invisible to standard continuum models and geostatistical descriptors, and that heat tracers become less reliable than solute tracers under high-velocity heterogeneous conditions. Process-aware metrics linking pore-network topology to transport behavior are needed to resolve these upscaling failures.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Research Foundation of Korea</funding-source>
<award-id>2022R1A2C1006696</award-id>
<award-id>RS-2022-NR070842</award-id>
<award-id>RS-2021-NR056203</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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