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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3399</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Earthquake Scaling Equations Under Small Strain, Steady Moment Release-Rate Conditions in Southern Andes from 2015 to 2017</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Toledo</surname>
<given-names>Patricio A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Siegel</surname>
<given-names>Cristián</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Derode</surname>
<given-names>Benoit</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Madariaga</surname>
<given-names>Raúl</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2524-9489</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Campos</surname>
<given-names>Jaime</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Programa Riesgo Sísmico PRS, Universidad de Chile, Blanco Encalada 2002, Santiago, Chile</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Institut Terre et Environnement Strasbourg, EOST, Université de Strasbourg/CNRS, Strasbourg, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Département de Géologie, Ecole Normale Superieure, PSL University, 75005 Paris, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Departamento de Geofísica, Facultad de Ciencias Físicas y Matemáticas, Universidad de Chile, Beauchef 850, Santiago, Chile</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>19</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>28</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Patricio A. Toledo et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3399/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3399/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3399/egusphere-2026-3399.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3399/egusphere-2026-3399.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>In the South Andes western edge, a very active seismic contact, with earthquakes up to magnitude 9.5 and ca. 4000 km in length threatens cities and very large populations. The existence of modern seismological networks along the contact allowed the observation of unprecedented earthquake cycle characteristics, which can improve our ability to estimate earthquake hazard, a main objective of seismology. Using dimensional and similarity analysis techniques, we show precise mechanical conditions under which the earthquake generation process unfolds, and theoretically-derive a set of scaling equations linking renormalized variables. Later on, we test our theoretical results using a curated earthquake point-catalog by using gridding, box-counting, statistical bootstrap and fixed-point iteration collapse techniques. We found non-trivial scaling laws valid across multiple orders of magnitude capable of describing a complex interplay between renormalized earthquake occurrence and renormalized seismic-moment release-rate. We discuss implications in terms of small-strain and seismic-moment release-rate imposed; cutoff magnitudes, statistical properties of seismicity, how seismic cycle might be analyzed in presence of long-term correlations, seismic-moment transfer under small-strain conditions, earthquake hazard implications and tectonic status. Finally, we conclude that exponents characterizing seismicity are related through a set of scaling equations, meaning that all considered processes have very long-term correlations. The available data suggests a single power law fitting data across the western edge. These equations were obtained by an asymptotic analysis, also a cascade mechanism is proposed to explain the observed moment release behavior.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="28"/></counts>
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