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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3365</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Operational XCH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; Retrievals from MethaneSAT: Demonstrating Sensor Performance for Constraining Regional Methane Emissions</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chan Miller</surname>
<given-names>Christopher</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Roche</surname>
<given-names>Sébastien</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2474-4744</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wilzweski</surname>
<given-names>Jonas</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1392-2966</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liu</surname>
<given-names>Xiong</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2939-574X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chance</surname>
<given-names>Kelly V.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7339-7577</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Luo</surname>
<given-names>Bingkun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sun</surname>
<given-names>Kang</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9930-7509</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Franklin</surname>
<given-names>Jonathan E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Benmergui</surname>
<given-names>Joshua S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Nasr</surname>
<given-names>Maya</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Miller</surname>
<given-names>David J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3456-4416</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Crowell</surname>
<given-names>Sean</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8353-3707</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Leisso</surname>
<given-names>Nathan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Walker</surname>
<given-names>Eleanor</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gautam</surname>
<given-names>Ritesh</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>LoFaso</surname>
<given-names>Nicholas</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ayvazov</surname>
<given-names>Sasha</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wells</surname>
<given-names>David</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cervantes</surname>
<given-names>Carlos</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hairfield</surname>
<given-names>Christopher</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0008-9747-0928</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wofsy</surname>
<given-names>Steven</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Defense Fund, New York, NY</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Center for Astrophysics | Harvard &amp; Smithsonian, Cambridge, MA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil, Structural and Environmental Engineering, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>BAE Systems, Inc., Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>now at: EUMETSAT, Eumetsat Allee 1, 64295 Darmstadt, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>03</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>40</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Christopher Chan Miller et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3365/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3365/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3365/egusphere-2026-3365.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3365/egusphere-2026-3365.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>MethaneSAT, launched in March 2024, was designed to quantify regional methane (CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;) emissions, with a primary focus on the oil and gas (O&amp;amp;G) sector. The satellite mission bridges the gap between coarse-resolution global flux mappers and high‑resolution plume imagers by combining fine spatial resolution (~110 x 400 m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; pixels at nadir), high spectral resolution (~0.23 nm FWHM), and a ~220 km swath at nadir. In this study, we present the first operational retrievals of CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; column-averaged dry-air mole fractions (&lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt;) using the CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;‑proxy method. We assess the instrument and retrieval algorithm performance relative to the mission&apos;s precision and accuracy requirements needed to constrain CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; emissions at the scale of individual O&amp;amp;G basins.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We focus on evaluating the retrieval against four major potential sources of systematic error: albedo dependent CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;/CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; column retrieval sensitivity differences, cross-track stripe biases, aerosol-induced light path errors, and subscene CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; variability. Tuning the a priori covariance matrix suppresses albedo-dependent errors caused by the influence of priors to sub ppb levels.&amp;nbsp;Through a careful selection of homogeneous validation targets, we show that &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; cross-track biases strongly correlate with changes in the apparent instrument spectral response function (ISRF). We develop a stripe-correction algorithm using retrieved ISRF variations in a regression model combined with wavelet-Fourier filtering to reduce stripe noise from approximately 15 ppb standard deviation to near the random noise limit.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Analysis of the homogeneous validation scenes shows that single-pixel precision is approximately 30 ppb for conditions from a typical bare-ground O&amp;amp;G scene (0.4 albedo, 30&amp;deg; &lt;em&gt;SZA&lt;/em&gt;), corresponding to ~3 ppb at 2 x 2 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;, and thus well within the mission requirement of 3 ppb at 5 x 5 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;. This requirement is also met for all targeted viewing geometry/albedo combinations. Comparisons with &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; from TROPOMI show excellent agreement, with a mean bias of 0.1 ppb and a regression slope of 0.99 when using &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; from the CAMS greenhouse gas forecast as the prior in place of the GINPUT prior used operationally. The spatial pattern of Permian basin &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; enhancements between the two instruments is highly consistent.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Observations of a Pseudo-Invariant Calibration site in Libya confirm that the CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-proxy approach effectively mitigates biases induced by cloud and aerosol scattering, with subscene &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; variability emerging as the most challenging remaining error source; gradients of a few ppm can lead to &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; errors comparable to typical basin enhancements, though such conditions appear infrequent in both MethaneSAT observations and CAMS GHG forecast simulations. Overall, MethaneSAT retrieves &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; with the precision and accuracy required for basin-scale emissions inversion. These results suggest that the CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;-proxy approach remains the most viable retrieval approach for regional CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; emission mapping, with improved treatment of subscene &lt;em&gt;X&lt;/em&gt;&lt;sub&gt;CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;&lt;/sub&gt; variability representing the key priority for future work.</p>
</abstract>
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