<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3344</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>ENSO Teleconnection Patterns Modulate Australian Extratropical Cyclones</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sun</surname>
<given-names>Linyuan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0002-7396-6327</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Taschetto</surname>
<given-names>Andréa S.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6020-1603</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McGregor</surname>
<given-names>Shayne</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Alexander</surname>
<given-names>Lisa V.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jin</surname>
<given-names>Chenhui</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3660-5709</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>ARC Centre of Excellence for the Weather of the 21st Century, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Monash University, Clayton, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>ARC Centre of Excellence for the Weather of the 21st Century, Monash University, Clayton, Australia</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>14</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>40</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Linyuan Sun et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3344/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3344/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3344/egusphere-2026-3344.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3344/egusphere-2026-3344.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>While the effects of the El Ni&amp;ntilde;o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on Australian rainfall are well known, its modulation of the main rain-producing weather system&amp;mdash;extratropical cyclones&amp;mdash;is still not well understood. In particular, there is a lack of direct evidence for ENSO-related changes in cyclone day frequency around Australia because high internal variability makes it hard to detect the signal when calculating cyclone frequency under conventional seasonal windows. Given that ENSO influences the extratropics primarily through atmospheric teleconnections, its impact on extratropical cyclones should be detectable on days when teleconnections are well established. Focusing on the austral spring, when the strongest response to ENSO in the southern extratropics is exhibited, we identify persistent teleconnection pattern periods by projecting daily low-frequency circulation fields onto ENSO-composited teleconnection patterns. We then use these days as a sample space to calculate cyclone day frequency. Under this conditioning, we reveal that ENSO teleconnection patterns modulate Southern Hemisphere cyclone activity, with particular signals emerging over the Tasman Sea, where cyclone frequency increases (decreases) up to about 10 % during La Ni&amp;ntilde;a (El Ni&amp;ntilde;o). Tracking statistics further indicate enhanced cyclogenesis over the Tasman Sea during La Ni&amp;ntilde;a, and reduced genesis during El Ni&amp;ntilde;o, especially for the Central Pacific type. Cyclone residence time over this region also tends to increase during La Ni&amp;ntilde;a, consistent with the associated favourable dynamical and moisture environment. Decomposing rainfall anomalies into Tasman Sea cyclone and non-cyclone components further highlights the role of cyclone activity changes in eastern Australian rainfall anomalies during ENSO events. These results suggest the importance of low-frequency circulation regimes in mediating tropical forcing on extratropical weather and provide new insights into the ENSO-weather systems linkage study.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="40"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>