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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3285</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; ver. 1.0: An Objective Hybrid Tracker and Classifier for Tropical Cyclones version 1.0</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Park</surname>
<given-names>Doo-Sun R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kim</surname>
<given-names>Dasol</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9523-8887</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ko</surname>
<given-names>Hye-Young</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kim</surname>
<given-names>Hyeong-Seog</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2577-3301</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cha</surname>
<given-names>Dong-Hyun</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5053-6741</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chang</surname>
<given-names>Minhee</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Min</surname>
<given-names>Seung-Ki</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Kwon</surname>
<given-names>Minho</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Park</surname>
<given-names>Tae-Won</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Science Education, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, 41566, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>BK21 Weather Extremes Education &amp; Research Team, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Kyungpook National University, Daegu, 41566, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Center for Atmospheric REmote sensing (CARE), Kyungpook National University, Daegu, 41566, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Seoul, 01811, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Ocean Science and Technology School, Korea Maritime and Ocean University, Busan, 49112, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Department of Civil, Urban, Earth and Environmental Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology, Ulsan, 44919, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Planning Institute, Seoul National University, Seoul, 08826, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Division of Environmental Science and Engineering, Pohang University of Science and Technology, Pohang, 37673, South Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>Ocean Climate Prediction Center, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Busan, 49111, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Science Education, Chonnam National University, Gwangju, 61186, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>09</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>30</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Doo-Sun R. Park et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3285/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3285/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3285/egusphere-2026-3285.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3285/egusphere-2026-3285.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Accurate detection of tropical cyclones (TCs) from gridded climate model data is essential for evaluating model performance and projecting future TC activity. Conventional detection schemes rely on environmental variable thresholds that are frequently tuned to specific basins or models, making them inherently subjective. Conversely, detection schemes based on universal thresholds often fail to capture regional characteristics. While recent machine learning (ML) approaches provide objective data-driven thresholds, they generally require a great number of variables compared to conventional methods and suffer from high false alarm rates (FAR). Here, we introduce an objective hybrid tracker and classifier for tropical cyclones (TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;), an algorithm combining traditional and ML techniques to establish objective thresholds and minimize FAR. Using an ensemble of six classifiers based on three ML algorithms and two reanalyses, TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; avoids dependency on specific ML algorithms or datasets. TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; was trained and its hyperparameters were optimized using two reanalysis datasets over 1998&amp;ndash;2017 period, while its performance was evaluated on their respective internal test sets and the independent NCEP FNL dataset from 2018 to 2024. Evaluated against the NCEP FNL dataset, TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; outperforms the existing algorithms, i.e., TempestExtremes and OWZP, achieving higher F1 score (83.6 %) and critical success index (71.8 %), while significantly lowering FAR (14.3 %) and maintaining a comparable hit rate (81.5 %). TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; also better reproduces TC count and seasonal variability over each basin. In CMIP6 evaluations, TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; successfully captures the overall characteristics of TC activity. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, projected spatial changes in TC genesis frequency detected by TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; are largely consistent with those of the dynamical genesis potential index, suggesting that TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; identifies physically coherent systems governed by large-scale dynamic environments. Utilizing only a limited set of commonly available variables, including minimum sea level pressure, low-level relative vorticity, upper- and low-level wind speeds, and an upper-level warm core, TC&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; provides an effective and robust framework for TC detection in gridded climate datasets.</p>
</abstract>
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