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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3269</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Can bias correction methods improve the statistical characterization of extreme rainfall compound events in climate simulations?</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jacquemin</surname>
<given-names>Grégoire</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9871-772X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Vrac</surname>
<given-names>Mathieu</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6176-0439</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Freulon</surname>
<given-names>Xavier</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0135-0251</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Allard</surname>
<given-names>Denis</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7944-1906</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Mines Paris, PSL University, Centre for geosciences and geoengineering, 77300 Fontainebleau, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et l’Environnement (LSCE), CEA, CNRS, UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay, UMR8212, 91191 Gif-sur-Yvette, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL), FR636, Paris, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Biostatistiques et Processus Spatiaux (BioSP), INRAE, Avignon, 84914, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>19</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>39</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Grégoire Jacquemin et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3269/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3269/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3269/egusphere-2026-3269.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3269/egusphere-2026-3269.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Compound events (CEs), commonly defined as the &amp;ldquo;combination of multiple drivers and/or hazards that contributes to societal or environmental risk&amp;rdquo;, often result in amplified impacts compared to individual hazards. To understand their evolution in terms of frequency under climate change, the outputs of climate simulations are used. Climate simulations are often statistically biased which can affect the representation of CEs. Hence, this study examines to what extends bias correction methods, including multivariate ones, improve the statistical characterization of CEs. It also aims at determining whether their evolution under climate change can be preserved by these methods. Two extreme rainfall events triggered by accumulated precipitation have been selected and analyzed either with a multivariate generalized Pareto modeling or a copula-based modeling. Two multivariate bias correction methods (dOTC and R2D2) and one univariate bias correction method (CDF-t) are applied to bias correct simulations from 10 global climate models. Bias corrected and raw data are compared in terms of return periods and in terms of extremal dependence structure. The results show that bias correction methods improve the representation of the two studied CEs and that the sign of their evolution is preserved in most cases.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="39"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Agence Nationale de la Recherche</funding-source>
<award-id>ANR-22-EXTR-0005</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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