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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3205</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>China&amp;ndash;Korea Linked Typhoons: A transboundary sequential hazard framework for East Asian tropical cyclones</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Na</surname>
<given-names>Hana</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2265-0261</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jung</surname>
<given-names>Woo-Sik</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Atmospheric Environment and Information Engineering, Inje University, Gimhae 50834, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Typhoon Ready Center, Inje University, Gimhae 50834, Republic of Korea</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>26</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Hana Na</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3205/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3205/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3205/egusphere-2026-3205.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3205/egusphere-2026-3205.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Tropical cyclones over the western North Pacific (WNP) are among the most damaging natural hazards in East Asia, yet the transboundary sequential process by which a single typhoon affects China and then Korea has not been quantified. This study proposes the China&amp;ndash;Korea Linked Typhoon (CKLT) framework and applies it to 70 years of official records (1949&amp;ndash;2018) from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA). A CKLT is defined by three criteria: (i) the same WNP typhoon number appears in both CMA and KMA records; (ii) the China impact onset precedes or coincides with the Korea impact onset; and (iii) the Forecast Window (FW), defined as the interval between the two onsets, does not exceed 14 d. The FW is an observational temporal linkage metric, not a forecast skill measure. The 14 d threshold is jointly supported by Gaussian mixture model decomposition, kernel density estimation, and physical transit-time considerations, with the resulting case count stable across thresholds of 12&amp;ndash;19 d. Mann&amp;ndash;Kendall analysis revealed asymmetric long-term changes: China-affecting typhoon frequency in the CMA W8 station record increased (+ 0.570 events decade⁻&amp;sup1;, p = 0.006; constant-network subset + 0.45 events decade⁻&amp;sup1;, p = 0.032) while station-based mean wind and gust decreased; Korea-affecting typhoons in the KMA advisory record showed no frequency trend but exhibited intensification in advisory-based extreme gusts (+ 1.41 m s⁻&amp;sup1; decade⁻&amp;sup1;, p = 0.022) and typhoon-conditional precipitation (+ 24.7 mm decade⁻&amp;sup1;, p &amp;lt; 0.001). Of the 227 Korea-affecting typhoons, 75 shared a common WNP typhoon number with CMA records and satisfied the sequential onset criterion; applying the 14 d Forecast Window threshold identified 36 (15.9 %) as CKLTs, with the FW distribution adequately represented by a parsimonious gamma model (&amp;alpha; = 1.20, &amp;beta; = 5.21; KS p = 0.258) and a 6 d median (95 % bootstrap CI [2.95, 6.78] d; B = 5000). These results support the CKLT framework as an observation-based, population-level timing indicator for transboundary typhoon hazard analysis and bilateral disaster-preparedness research, rather than as a deterministic forecast of individual storm impacts.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Research Foundation of Korea</funding-source>
<award-id>RS-2023-00212688</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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