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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3157</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The evolution of anthropogenic carbon accumulation in the North Atlantic Ocean: the influence of physical and chemical drivers over the last three decades</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wimart-Rousseau</surname>
<given-names>Cathy</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McDonagh</surname>
<given-names>Elaine L.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Brown</surname>
<given-names>Peter J.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1152-1114</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>NORCE, Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>23</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>45</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Cathy Wimart-Rousseau et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3157/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3157/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3157/egusphere-2026-3157.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3157/egusphere-2026-3157.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The North Atlantic (NA) plays a central role in global carbon uptake and storage, yet recent studies suggest that the efficiency of this sink &amp;ndash; defined as its capacity to absorb and store anthropogenic CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; (C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt;) relative to rising atmospheric concentrations &amp;ndash; may be weakening, raising concerns about its future capacity to offset anthropogenic emissions. Climate model ensembles project that the NA&amp;rsquo;s anthropogenic carbon uptake may peak mid-century and decline thereafter, partly due to a projected slowdown of the AtlanticMeridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which could reduce the rate of NA C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; accumulation. In this context, quantifying and understanding recent C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; accumulation variability and its drivers is essential for understanding its future trajectory.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Here, we use quality-controlled hydrographic observations to examine temporal and spatial patterns of C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; concentration change across the NA between 1993 and 2021. C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; estimates are combined with the ARMOR3D gridded physical data product to quantify C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; inventories and interannual variability in C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; storage, determine water mass volume changes, assess the drivers of observed changes, and evaluate the role of key oceanic processes such as circulation and ventilation. We analyse these results across 13 NA subregions representing distinct biogeochemical regimes and 7 density intervals representing the NA water masses. A basin-wide C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; inventory increase of 0.39 &amp;plusmn; 0.02 PgC a&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;1&lt;/sup&gt; over the study period is observed, with broadly linear increases across subregions and density layers, but with pronounced latitudinal contrasts and depth-dependent variability. Larger trends are evident in near-surface waters at low latitudes and enhanced C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; accumulation in intermediate densities at higher latitudes. Substantial interannual variability is also identified, with deviations from linear C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; inventory growth majoritively dominated by water-mass volume variability (driven by circulation and ventilation changes) rather than C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; concentrations. While we do find interannual variability in C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; concentrations across the NA, it is most pronounced in the Nordic and subpolar regions where changes in ventilation and deep convection drive coherent anomalies across multiple density layers. Subtropical and tropical regions exhibit more episodic variability largely confined to upper and intermediate density layers, consistent with changes in stratification and lateral redistribution. Overall, this interannual signal has a smaller impact on the basin-wide C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; inventory. Indeed, over the period considered, an inventory increase rate of 1.72 % a&lt;sup&gt;&amp;minus;1&lt;/sup&gt; was identified, with the fractional contribution of each region exhibiting small but still measurable multi-year fluctuations. We conclude that temporal changes in circulation and ventilation modulate not only interannual C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; anomalies but also the regional partitioning of long-term storage. The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) emerges as the primary driver of interannual variability, imprinting strong, spatially consistent signals on C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; inventories. In contrast, while no direct correlation with AMOC variability is. discerned, accumulated AMOC anomalies reveal delayed responses of C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; inventories to NAO forcing, consistent with the ocean&amp;rsquo;s overturning dynamics and reflective of extended periods of AMOC imprint. These findings highlight that while NAO directly modulates interannual C&lt;sub&gt;Anth&lt;/sub&gt; variability, ocean circulation integrates its influence over longer timescales. Hence, reliable projections of the future North Atlantic carbon sink require accounting for the dual control of atmospheric forcing and ocean circulation, whereby NAO drives rapid variability while the overturning circulation integrates and propagates this signal over longer timescales.</p>
</abstract>
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