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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3104</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>60 years of global air-sea CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; flux variability</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wong</surname>
<given-names>Suki C. K.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3746-2383</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>McKinley</surname>
<given-names>Galen A.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4072-9221</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Seager</surname>
<given-names>Richard</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4772-9707</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jacobson</surname>
<given-names>Tess Wei-Ping</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fay</surname>
<given-names>Amanda</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3534-1932</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gürses</surname>
<given-names>Özgür</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0646-5760</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gruber</surname>
<given-names>Nicolas</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2085-2310</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ilyina</surname>
<given-names>Tatiana</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Jarnikova</surname>
<given-names>Tereza</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5105-3343</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Resplandy</surname>
<given-names>Laure</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1212-3943</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schwinger</surname>
<given-names>Jörg</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7525-6882</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Séférian</surname>
<given-names>Roland</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2571-2114</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Columbia University, New York, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Environmental Physics, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics, ETH Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Max Planck Institute for Marine Microbiology, Bremen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>University of East Anglia, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Princeton University, New Jersey, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>NORCE Climate &amp; Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques, France</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>18</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>32</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Suki C. K. Wong et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3104/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3104/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3104/egusphere-2026-3104.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3104/egusphere-2026-3104.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The ocean carbon sink has absorbed approximately 29 % of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt;) emissions in the last decade, mitigating climate change. Over time, the ocean carbon sink has grown nearly proportionally to atmospheric CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; concentrations. Natural variability also modulates the ocean carbon sink, but the decadal-timescale mechanisms of this variability are not well-understood. Using LDEO-Hybrid Physics Data, a unique observation-based product that merges observations with hindcast models, we assess the decadal variability of global air-sea CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; fluxes for 1959&amp;ndash;2024, with a focus on the dominant regional contributions. The dominant mode of decadal air-sea CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; flux variability exhibits strong synchronous signals between the tropical Pacific and the Southern Ocean. This synchronicity is modulated by Pacific Decadal Variability (PDV) and the interannually varying El Ni&amp;ntilde;o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) as measured by the Multivariate ENSO Index. When PDV and MEI indices are positive, the Southern Ocean experiences stronger westerly winds and deeper mixed layers. However, fully explaining the weakening of the Southern Ocean carbon sink in recent decades, which had predominantly negative PDV and MEI, will require additional constraints, particularly for biological processes.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="32"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Science Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>AGS-2019625</award-id>
<award-id>OCE-2219829</award-id>
<award-id>OCE-2445981</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Natural Environment Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/V011103/1</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme</funding-source>
<award-id>101137682</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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<back>
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</article>