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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3072</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The role of climate-society impacts in an Integrated Assessment Model: feedbacks, cascades and interdependencies</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Muralidhar</surname>
<given-names>Adakudlu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Mauritzen</surname>
<given-names>Cecilie</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5956-8811</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wells</surname>
<given-names>Christopher D.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1958-0984</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Blanz</surname>
<given-names>Benjamin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7830-7497</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Schoenberg</surname>
<given-names>William</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3529-1066</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Callegari</surname>
<given-names>Beniamino</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Breier</surname>
<given-names>Jannes</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rajah</surname>
<given-names>Jefferson K.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8365-0428</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ramme</surname>
<given-names>Lennart</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8307-2493</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lindqvist</surname>
<given-names>Andreas Nicolaidis</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6323-1397</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Köberle</surname>
<given-names>Alexandre C.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Eriksson</surname>
<given-names>Axel E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6458-8232</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Smith</surname>
<given-names>Chris</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0599-4633</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Division for Ocean and Ice, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, 0313, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Division for Climate, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, 0313, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2 9JT, United Kingdom</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Research Unit Sustainability and Climate Risks, University of Hamburg, Grindelberg 5, 20144 Hamburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>System Dynamics Group, University of Bergen, Bergen, 5020, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>School of Economics, Innovation and Technology, Kristiania University of Applied Sciences, Oslo, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Department  of  Earth  System  Analysis,  Potsdam  Institute  for  Climate  Impact  Research,  Telegrafenberg  A31,  14473,   Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Bundesstraße  53, 20146 Hamburg, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>RISE Research Institutes of Sweden, Ideon Beta5,  Scheelevägen 17, 22370, Lund, Sweden</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>Instituto  Dom  Luiz,  Faculty  of  Sciences,  Universidade  de  Lisboa,  Campo  Grande,  Edifício  C1,  Piso  1,  1749-016,  Lisboa,    Portugal</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>Energy,  Climate  and  Environment  Program,  International  Institute  for  Applied  Systems  Analysis  (IIASA),  Laxenburg,  25  Austria</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University,  Albanovägen 28, SE-106 91 Stockholm</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>isee systems inc., 24 Hanover St, Ste 8A, Lebanon,  NH 03766 USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>01</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>47</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Adakudlu Muralidhar et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3072/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3072/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3072/egusphere-2026-3072.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3072/egusphere-2026-3072.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Conventional Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs), including those used in Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) projections, often represent climate damages with limited cross-sectoral coupling, potentially missing system&amp;ndash;wide and nonlinear risks. Policy approaches that assume gradual, reversible, and predictable change are therefore likely to underestimate both the risks of delayed action and the benefits of early, coordinated intervention. These limitations highlight the need for IAMs to incorporate increasingly comprehensive representations of climate&amp;ndash;society feedbacks in order to better characterize climate risks under real-world conditions.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To address this gap, this study investigates how explicit climate&amp;ndash;society feedbacks alter long-term projections in a coupled human&amp;ndash;Earth system. We use the Feedback-based knowledge Repository for Integrated Assessments version 2.1 (FRIDA v2.1), a global IAM designed to capture bidirectional feedbacks between climate and multiple socio-economic modules&amp;mdash;Energy, Finance, Demography, Human Behaviour, Land Use, and Resource Infrastructure&amp;mdash;via 19 climate impact channels grouped into 9 broader categories.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;We compare a counterfactual simulation ensemble without climate-society impacts (NoImpacts) to a fully coupled experiment with all of the impact channels (AllImpacts), and to experiments where impact channels are activated individually. Across these experiments, we find that explicit climate feedbacks fundamentally alter socioeconomic trajectories, with the AllImpacts case exhibiting substantially lower economic growth than the NoImpacts case due to cascading feedback loops that propagate through financial, energy, demographic, and resource systems. Indirect economic channels&amp;mdash;particularly climate-induced changes in investment and bank assets&amp;mdash;emerge as the dominant drivers of system-wide outcomes, while other impacts remain largely sector-specific. These cascading mechanisms imply a growth-damage rather than a level-damage representation of climate impacts relative to canonical IAMs (e.g., DICE), resulting in substantially larger economic losses.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The analysis reveals strongly nonlinear climate-society interactions driven by cross-sectoral feedbacks, state-dependent responses, and regime-switching dynamics. Nonlinearities are particularly pronounced in food demand, crop yield, agricultural water use, and surface temperature anomaly, reflecting heterogeneous response mechanisms across coupled biophysical and socio-economic systems. These results demonstrate that tightly coupled human-Earth systems can generate non-linear system-wide changes even in the absence of explicit tipping elements.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="47"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>101081661</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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