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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3008</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Multi-scenario Hydro-climatic Mean and Peak Responses of Central&amp;ndash;South Asia and the Tibetan Plateau to Future Warming and Stratospheric Aerosol Intervention</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hussain</surname>
<given-names>Azfar</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7160-4002</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liu</surname>
<given-names>Huizing</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9018-985X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rezaei</surname>
<given-names>Abolfazl</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8619-2442</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhu</surname>
<given-names>Ping</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Visioni</surname>
<given-names>Daniele</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7342-2189</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Xu</surname>
<given-names>Guanglang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yang</surname>
<given-names>Chao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ma</surname>
<given-names>Yan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Cao</surname>
<given-names>Tianye</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Qingquan</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>College of Civil and Transportation Engineering, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060,  China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Advanced Study &amp; Tiandu-Shenzhen University Deep Space Exploration Joint  Laboratory &amp; Space Science Center, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>MNR Key Laboratory for Geo-Environmental Monitoring of Great Bay Area &amp; Guangdong Key  Laboratory of Urban Informatics &amp; Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Spatial Smart Sensing and   Services, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen 518060, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Sciences, Institute for Advanced Studies in Basic Sciences, Zanjan 45137–66731, Iran</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>02</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>54</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Azfar Hussain et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3008/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3008/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3008/egusphere-2026-3008.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3008/egusphere-2026-3008.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Central&amp;ndash;South Asia and the Tibetan Plateau are climate-sensitive regions where water resources are controlled by monsoon, westerlies, and cryosphere processes. This study evaluates hydroclimatic changes across three regimes: moisture-limited Central Asia (west (WCA) and east (ECA)), cryosphere-influenced Tibetan Plateau (TIB), and monsoon-dominated South Asia (SAS), under warming (SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5) and solar radiation management (SRM) scenarios with temperature-stabilized (G6-1.5K-SAI and Geo-SAI) and transient forcing (G6solar and G6sulfur) experiments using CESM2-WACCM for 2055&amp;ndash;2084 relative to 2015&amp;ndash;2034. Warming substantially amplifies annual peak hydroclimatic responses, with peak temperature increasing by 24 %, ET by 6.5 %, precipitation by up to 13 % in TIB and SAS, and available water (AW) by 18 %&amp;ndash;23 %, alongside accelerated cryosphere melts and enhanced vegetation. In contrast, dry Central Asia shows smaller precipitation and AW increases but remains highly sensitive to evapotranspiration (ET)-driven drying and soil moisture (SM) losses. Temperature-stabilized scenarios provide stronger and more consistent suppression of warming and extremes, while transient forcing scenarios achieve only partial mitigation and retain greater variability. Across regions, SRM generally reduces temperature and ET, produces mixed precipitation responses, and partially restores AW, soil moisture, and cryosphere-related processes. The findings per unit sulfur injected exhibit highest cooling and hydrological efficiency under G6-1.5K-SAI, showing that effectiveness depends on both sulfur loading and injection strategy. SRM also moderates cryosphere loss through enhanced snowfall and reduced snowmelt over the TIB. Warming intensifies seasonal variability and advances peak timing, whereas SRM dampens these shifts to present-day conditions. Precipitation remains the dominant control on AW, indicating that SRM primarily modifies hydroclimatic magnitude rather than underlying water-cycle controls. Overall, SRM reduces hydroclimatic extremes but cannot fully offset regional water stress, and its effectiveness depends on both forcing pathway and intervention strategy, highlighting the need for climate-regime-specific and sulfur-normalized evaluation.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="54"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>42371337</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong Province</funding-source>
<award-id>2024A1515011388</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Shenzhen Science and Technology Innovation Program</funding-source>
<award-id>JCYJ20230808105709020</award-id>
<award-id>JCYJ20240813142621029</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs4">
<funding-source>Major Projects of Guangdong Education Department for Foundation Research and Applied Research</funding-source>
<award-id>2023B0303000017</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs5">
<funding-source>Ministry of Education of the People&apos;s Republic of China</funding-source>
<award-id>SYSPG20241211173845013</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs6">
<funding-source>Shenzhen University</funding-source>
<award-id>806-000034080293</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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<back>
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