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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-3003</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Multiscalar and nonlinear controls of drought impacts in Spain revealed from media-reported data</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>El Kenawy</surname>
<given-names>Ahmed M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6639-6253</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Domínguez-Castro</surname>
<given-names>Fernando</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3085-7040</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Beguería</surname>
<given-names>Santiago</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3974-2947</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Vela-Tambo</surname>
<given-names>Javier</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6818-9191</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Halifa-Marín</surname>
<given-names>Amar</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Adell-Michavila</surname>
<given-names>Maria</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0003-6293-1994</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Crespillo</surname>
<given-names>Alex</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3918-8702</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Latorre</surname>
<given-names>Borja</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Franquesa</surname>
<given-names>Magí</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3101-0394</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Vicente-Serrano</surname>
<given-names>Sergio M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (IPE-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Laboratorio de Climatología y Servicios Climáticos (LCSC), CSIC–University of Zaragoza, Spain</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Geography, Mansoura University, Mansoura, 35516, Egypt</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Estación Experimental de Aula Dei, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (EEAD-CSIC), Zaragoza, Spain</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worcester, MA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>06</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>27</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Ahmed M. El Kenawy et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3003/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3003/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3003/egusphere-2026-3003.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-3003/egusphere-2026-3003.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>This study assesses the multiscalar and nonlinear relationships between drought severity, characterized by the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), and media-reported hydrological and agricultural impacts across Spain during 1976&amp;ndash;2023. Drought indices were derived from a high-resolution gridded climate dataset (1.1 km), while impact data were obtained from standardized monthly frequencies of drought-related newspaper articles at the provincial scale. Results demonstrate robust temporal coherence between drought conditions and impacts, with major drought episodes associated with anomalies exceeding +1 to +2 standard deviations. Drought&amp;ndash;impact relationships strengthen markedly with accumulation timescale, reaching maximum correlations at 12&amp;ndash;24 months (|r| &amp;asymp; 0.6&amp;ndash;0.8), while short timescales (1&amp;ndash;3 months) show weak associations (|r| &amp;lt; 0.3). Hydrological impacts are primarily associated with accumulated medium- and long-term moisture deficits (12&amp;ndash;48 months), whereas agricultural systems respond more rapidly to short- and intermediate-term drought conditions (3&amp;ndash;12 months). However, both sectors shift to longer time scales as drought severity increases. Sensitivity analyses reveal pronounced nonlinear responses, with impacts increasing disproportionately during severe drought conditions with a peak at 12&amp;ndash;36 months. The consistently stronger association of SPEI relative to SPI, especially in case of agricultural impacts, suggesting a dominant contribution of atmospheric evaporative demand. Our results indicate that drought impacts are governed by the accumulation and nonlinear propagation of moisture deficits modulated by temperature-dependent processes and provide a framework for improved impact-based drought monitoring in a warming climate.</p>
</abstract>
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