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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2969</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Reducing parameter uncertainty in the Noah-MP-Crop model through global sensitivity analysis and targeted optimization</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Zhonghe</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chen</surname>
<given-names>Le</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhan</surname>
<given-names>Chesheng</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hu</surname>
<given-names>Shi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3550-4538</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ning</surname>
<given-names>Like</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wu</surname>
<given-names>Lanfang</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Guo</surname>
<given-names>Hai</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Qi</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Central South Academy of Inventory and Planning of NFGA, Changsha 410014, Hunan, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Key Laboratory of Ecosystem Network Observation and Modeling, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>College of the Environment and Ecology, Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha, Hunan 410128, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Yucheng Comprehensive Experiment Station, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100101, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Space Engineering University, 21 Beijing 101416, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>These authors contributed equally to this work.</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>07</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>42</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Zhonghe Li et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2969/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2969/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2969/egusphere-2026-2969.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2969/egusphere-2026-2969.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Accurately representing crop growth in land surface models (LSMs) is crucial for capturing cropland&amp;ndash;atmosphere interactions, but in practice this remains challenging because many crop-related parameters are poorly constrained. In this study, we focus on reducing parameter uncertainty in the Noah-MP-Crop model by combining global sensitivity analysis with a targeted parameter optimization approach. We first assess the sensitivity of simulated crop yield and leaf area index (LAI) using the Morris screening method and Sobol&apos; variance decomposition at nine agricultural experimental sites across China. Across sites and crops, the analysis consistently points to parameters associated with CO&lt;sub&gt;2&lt;/sub&gt; assimilation and carbon use efficiency as the primary controls on crop growth simulations. In contrast, parameters describing crop structure and phenology tend to matter most at specific growth stages rather than throughout the entire season. Guided by these sensitivity results, we then apply a targeted optimization strategy, in which the ranges of key parameters are progressively refined using an interval-based search framework. Comparison with field observations shows clear improvements after optimization: yield RMSE is reduced by 25&amp;ndash;86 %, LAI-related objective function values decrease by 49&amp;ndash;90 %, and mean absolute errors drop by 40&amp;ndash;80 % across major crop types. Overall, our results suggest that sensitivity-guided parameter optimization provides a practical and efficient way to reduce parameter uncertainty in Noah-MP-Crop. The optimized model better reproduces observed LAI and yield dynamics across different climatic regions, offering useful insights for improving crop representation in land surface models.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>U22A20555</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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