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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2906</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Reviews and syntheses: Spatiotemporal Dynamics, Drivers, and Uncertainties of Global Wildfire Carbon Dioxide Emissions</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liang</surname>
<given-names>Yu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ma</surname>
<given-names>Tianxiao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liu</surname>
<given-names>Bo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liu</surname>
<given-names>Zhihua</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>He</surname>
<given-names>Hong S.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yang</surname>
<given-names>Jian</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pan</surname>
<given-names>Yude</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yue</surname>
<given-names>Chao</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Xianli</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wu</surname>
<given-names>Mia</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Xu</surname>
<given-names>Wenru</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhu</surname>
<given-names>Jiaojun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>CAS Key Laboratory of Forest Ecology and Silviculture, Institute of Applied Ecology, Chinese  Academy of Sciences, Shenyang 110016, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO 65211, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Department of Forestry and Natural Resources, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, 40546-0073, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>USDA Forest Service, Durham, NH 03824, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming on the Loess Plateau, Northwest A &amp; F  University, Yangling 712100, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Northern Forestry Centre, Edmonton, Alberta  T6H 3S5, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>04</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>36</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Yu Liang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2906/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2906/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2906/egusphere-2026-2906.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2906/egusphere-2026-2906.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Wildfire carbon dioxide emissions (WCEs) are increasingly recognized as a major and highly uncertain component of the global biogeochemical carbon cycle, reflecting limitations in constraining their historical evolution, future trajectories, and controlling mechanisms. This review synthesizes evidence from satellite-based emission products, fire-enabled model reconstructions and scenario projections, and paleoenvironmental archives (charcoal and ice-core black carbon) to evaluate global WCE dynamics from 1700 to 2100. Historical reconstructions indicate relatively stable global WCEs during 1700&amp;ndash;1850, whereas pronounced divergence emerges during 1851&amp;ndash;2000 due to differing representations of land-use change and industrialization. Contemporary satellite observations show declining WCEs over 2001&amp;ndash;2020 (8.72 &amp;plusmn; 0.67 Pg CO₂ yr⁻&amp;sup1;), with 83 % originating from tropical ecosystems because of large burned area and high combustion efficiency. Importantly, these fluxes represent a critical shift in the net carbon balance of tropical and boreal biomes. Multi-model projections suggest increases through the 2040s, followed by growing divergence under alternative socioeconomic pathways. Across datasets and models, annual WCE estimates differ by up to 40 %, driven by uncertainties in fire detection, combustion completeness, emission factors, and fire&amp;ndash;climate&amp;ndash;human interactions. Despite regional heterogeneity, climate change emerges as the primary regulator of interannual variability in WCEs. Approximately 43 % of global vegetated areas have experienced increasing extreme wildfire seasons, particularly in northern high-latitude forests where recurrent burning amplifies carbon losses and weakens ecosystem carbon sinks. We conclude by identifying priorities for reducing uncertainty through tighter integration of multi-source observations with fire-enabled process models, improved representation of coupled fire&amp;ndash;climate&amp;ndash;carbon feedback and post-fire recovery, and the application of artificial intelligence to better constrain WCE spatiotemporal variability and enhance predictive capability under increasingly nonlinear fire&amp;ndash;climate interactions.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="36"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>32371651, 32471625, 32301379, 42301121</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province</funding-source>
<award-id>2026040011-JH6/1011, 2024-MSBA-87</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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