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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2755</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>PeatClim v1.0: A climate-driven machine-learning model for predicting potential paleo-peatland distribution and its key climate controls</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chen</surname>
<given-names>Linlin</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4930-8770</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Farnsworth</surname>
<given-names>Alexander</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5585-5338</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Valdes</surname>
<given-names>Paul</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1902-3283</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>School of Geographical Sciences and Cabot Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER), Institute of Tibetan Plateau  Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>21</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>28</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Linlin Chen et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2755/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2755/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2755/egusphere-2026-2755.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2755/egusphere-2026-2755.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Peatlands and their fossilized counterpart, coal, are key indicators of past and present climate. However, tools for predicting their potential global distribution in the geological past remain limited. Here we use machine learning to build a climate-driven peatland distribution model, PeatClim v1.0, and to identify key climatic controls on peatland formation. The model is trained on bioclimatic variables in regions of modern peatland occurrence, aiming to estimate potential peatland distributions, rather than to reproduce observed maps. Results show that partitioning the global peatland dataset into low- and high-temperature subsets and training them separately improves model predictive performance and aligns better with observations. Diagnostic analysis reveals distinct dominant climatic controls for the two subsets: low-temperature peatlands (northern peatlands) are mainly controlled by annual temperature range, whereas high-temperature peatlands (tropical peatlands) are primarily controlled by annual precipitation. PeatClim v1.0 is designed for use with palaeoclimate model outputs, facilitating the prediction of potential coal deposits in Earth&amp;rsquo;s history and palaeoclimate model-performance evaluation.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="28"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>China Scholarship Council</funding-source>
<award-id>202204910010</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>National Science Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/X015505/1</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Natural Environment Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/X015505/1</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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