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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2719</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The Role of the Atmosphere during the 2023 Antarctic Sea Ice Minimum</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Goodwin</surname>
<given-names>Matthew</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Bateson</surname>
<given-names>Adam</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1239-4161</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Aylmer</surname>
<given-names>Jake</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5159-0608</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Centre for Polar Observation and Modelling (CPOM), Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>27</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>28</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Matthew Goodwin et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2719/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2719/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2719/egusphere-2026-2719.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2719/egusphere-2026-2719.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>In February 2023, Antarctic sea ice extent reached a record minimum, yet the mechanisms driving this event remain debated.&lt;br /&gt;Here we use a coupled ocean&amp;ndash;sea ice model (NEMO-SI3) forced by two different atmospheric reanalyses, ERA5 and JRA-55-&lt;br /&gt;do, to investigate the drivers of the 2023 minimum and assess the sensitivity of inferred mechanisms to reanalysis choice. Both&lt;br /&gt;simulations capture exceptionally low February sea ice extent during the 2022/23 melt season, though neither atmospheric5&lt;br /&gt;reanalysis reproduces 2023 as a record minimum, with JRA-55-do showing closer agreement with observations. Substantial&lt;br /&gt;regional differences emerge between the two simulations in February 2023: JRA-55-do produces greater sea ice coverage in&lt;br /&gt;the Amundsen&amp;ndash;Bellingshausen and Ross sectors, while ERA5 yields higher concentrations in the Weddell and Indian Ocean&lt;br /&gt;sectors. We further investigate the atmospheric differences between the atmospheric reanalyses - differences in downwelling&lt;br /&gt;longwave radiation are the strongest disparity in October, whereas shortwave radiation is the primary disparity in February-10&lt;br /&gt;suggesting a role for these atmospheric differences in the differing sea ice outcome between the two simulations. Much of the&lt;br /&gt;existing literature attributes the 2023 minimum to mechanisms inferred from a single reanalysis, most commonly ERA5. Our&lt;br /&gt;results demonstrate that reanalysis choice produces markedly different regional sea ice responses, with implications for the&lt;br /&gt;interpretation of both thermodynamic and dynamical drivers. We therefore recommend caution when diagnosing real-world&lt;br /&gt;sea ice events from reanalysis-forced simulations and that multiple reanalysis products could be employed to improve the15&lt;br /&gt;robustness of inferred mechanisms</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="28"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>UK Research and Innovation</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/W004739/1</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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