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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2651</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Robust and Flexible Tidal Reconstruction from Sparse High Water - Low Water Observations</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Beemster</surname>
<given-names>Joris J. G. W.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3178-6689</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Matte</surname>
<given-names>Pascal</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0968-507X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Innocenti</surname>
<given-names>Silvia</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van Maren</surname>
<given-names>Bas D. S.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5820-3212</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hoitink</surname>
<given-names>Ton A. J. F.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4996-185X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University &amp; Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Numerical Prediction and Modelling Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Quebec, QC, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Ecosystems and Sediment Dynamics, Deltares, Delft, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>29</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>42</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Joris J. G. W. Beemster et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2651/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2651/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2651/egusphere-2026-2651.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2651/egusphere-2026-2651.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Tidal analysis and prediction are traditionally based on the harmonic decomposition of continuous water-level records. This limits the applicability to sparse, historical observations of high and low waters. Here, we adopt a high&amp;ndash;low tidal analysis (HLTA) framework that directly models tidal extrema and their temporal modulation using lunar transit timing and astronomical forcing. Two formulations are explored: a long-period harmonic (LPH) approach and an empirical&amp;ndash;astronomical (EA) representation. Application to tide-gauge data from the Western Scheldt demonstrates that HLTA predicts tidal extrema with accuracy comparable to harmonic analysis of 10-minute observations for water levels. Performance is also largely improved for the prediction of extrema timing, and bias is reduced. In contrast, harmonic analysis applied directly to high&amp;ndash;low data performs poorly, not only due to aliasing, but also because of broad-scale dependencies between constituents introduced by sparse sampling. The HLTA framework is robust to observational errors and can be extended naturally to non-stationary conditions by incorporating, for example, river discharge. Coupled with simple interpolation, HLTA enables accurate reconstruction of the continuous tidal signal, matching or exceeding harmonic analysis on high-resolution data in shallow systems where the tidal wave is strongly distorted. These results demonstrate that accurate tidal reconstruction from high&amp;ndash;low observations is feasible even in strongly distorted, shallow systems, with performance comparable to modern high-resolution analyses. This enables improved use of historical datasets for applications such as storm surge analysis, sea-level rise, and the analysis of changing tides, while also suggesting potential for improved modern tidal prediction in shallow and non-linear environments.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="42"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Toegepaste en Technische Wetenschappen, NWO</funding-source>
<award-id>17062</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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