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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2576</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Consistency Between Zonal Mean Stratospheric and Total Column Ozone Trends (2000&amp;ndash;2024)</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Auffarth</surname>
<given-names>Brian</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Weber</surname>
<given-names>Mark</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8217-5450</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Rozanov</surname>
<given-names>Alexei</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4525-3223</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Arosio</surname>
<given-names>Carlo</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8759-6390</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Burrows</surname>
<given-names>John P.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1547-8130</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Coldewey-Egbers</surname>
<given-names>Melanie</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9275-498X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Davis</surname>
<given-names>Sean M.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9276-6158</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Degenstein</surname>
<given-names>Doug</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dubé</surname>
<given-names>Kimberlee</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6103-5918</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Frith</surname>
<given-names>Stacey M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff6">
<sup>6</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Froidevaux</surname>
<given-names>Lucien</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff7">
<sup>7</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Loyola</surname>
<given-names>Diego</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8547-9350</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Fioletov</surname>
<given-names>Vitali E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2731-5956</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff8">
<sup>8</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sofieva</surname>
<given-names>Viktoria</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9192-2208</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff9">
<sup>9</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van der A</surname>
<given-names>Ronald</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0077-5338</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff10">
<sup>10</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wild</surname>
<given-names>Jeannette D.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff11">
<sup>11</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff12">
<sup>12</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff13">
<sup>13</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Institute of Environmental Physics,University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>DLR (German Aerospace Center), Oberpfaffenhofen-Wessling, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Adnet Systems, Inc., Lanham, MD, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff6">
<label>6</label>
<addr-line>NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff7">
<label>7</label>
<addr-line>Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff8">
<label>8</label>
<addr-line>Environment and Climate Change Canada, Toronto, Canada</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff9">
<label>9</label>
<addr-line>FMI (Finnish Meteorological Institute), Helsinki, Finland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff10">
<label>10</label>
<addr-line>KNMI (Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute), De Bilt, The Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff11">
<label>11</label>
<addr-line>ESSIC/University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff12">
<label>12</label>
<addr-line>NOAA NESDIS/STAR, College Park, MD, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff13">
<label>13</label>
<addr-line>retired</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>11</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>44</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Brian Auffarth et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2576/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2576/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2576/egusphere-2026-2576.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2576/egusphere-2026-2576.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>This study presents an updated assessment of stratospheric and total column ozone trends over the 2000&amp;ndash;2024 period using six merged limb-profile datasets and six merged total ozone datasets. Long-term changes were quantified using a multiple linear regression framework that accounts for dynamical and chemical variability. In addition to standard regressors (solar cycle, QBO, ENSO, stratospheric aerosol optical depth), we include Arctic and Antarctic Oscillation indices and the eddy heat flux in each hemisphere as proxies for dynamic variability. Volcanic (and wildfire) aerosol forcing is represented by separate proxies for three periods dominated by the major volcanic events of El Chich&amp;oacute;n, Pinatubo, and post-2000 volcanic eruptions, including Hunga-Tonga. These period-specific proxies are employed to better account for varying dynamical ozone responses that largely depend on the season and location of the eruptions. All profile datasets consistently show positive trends in the upper stratosphere, with the strongest ozone recovery in southern mid-latitudes, in agreement with other studies. In the lower stratosphere, trends remain weak, spatially heterogeneous, and predominantly negative. A comparison of stratospheric column trends derived from profile data with total ozone trends shows close agreement across latitude bands. Within the trend uncertainties, total column trends since 2000 are largely driven by stratospheric ozone changes, while tropospheric contributions to zonal-mean total ozone trends (the difference between total and stratospheric column trends) appear negligible. The extended regression framework improves the representation of recent dynamical variability and provides an updated perspective on stratospheric ozone recovery through 2024.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="44"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>European Space Agency</funding-source>
<award-id>4000137112/22/I- AG</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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