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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2393</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Exploring the influence of wind stress and ocean stratification on sea surface temperature variability in the central tropical Pacific</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Eusebi Borzelli</surname>
<given-names>Gian Luca</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Carniel</surname>
<given-names>Cosimo Enrico</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Carniel</surname>
<given-names>Sandro</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8317-1603</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Sclavo</surname>
<given-names>Mauro</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Center for Remote Sensing of the Earth (CeRSE), Rome, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Sciences, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>CNR, Istituto di Scienze Polari, Venezia, Italy</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>28</day>
<month>05</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>26</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Gian Luca Eusebi Borzelli et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2393/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2393/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2393/egusphere-2026-2393.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2393/egusphere-2026-2393.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The El Ni&amp;ntilde;o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a climate oscillation in the tropical Pacific sustained by a positive feedback between sea surface temperature (SST) gradient and the Walker circulation, known as the Bjerknes feedback. This results in an oscillation in the SST anomaly between warm (El Ni&amp;ntilde;o) and cold (La Ni&amp;ntilde;a) phases. In traditional ENSO theories, the Bjerknes feedback amplifies an initial disturbance to produce a full El Ni&amp;ntilde;o or La Ni&amp;ntilde;a, while the Sverdrup transport, caused by off-equatorial wind stress (WS) curl, determines the slow charging of the equatorial Pacific through deepening of the thermocline. However, recent research has emphasized the role played by the WS divergence in generating Kelvin waves that initiate El Ni&amp;ntilde;o. To account for changes in the action of the WS over a varying ocean stratification, we introduce a dimensionless WS (DWS) and use the Helmholtz decomposition to break it down into an irrotational (curl-free) and solenoidal (divergence-free) component to study ENSO variability over the interannual-to-interdecadal time scale. We show that the irrotational component of the DWS drives the thermocline dynamics on interannual time-scales, while the solenoidal component, which drives Sverdrup transport, determines off-equatorial internal waves, referred to as q-waves, that induce changes in the thermocline depth over longer time-scales. Furthermore, we develop an integral relation that links the variability of the thermocline depth anomaly across the tropical Pacific to the Ni&amp;ntilde;o-3.4 index variability. We conclude that the DWS irrotational component determines the Ni&amp;ntilde;o-3.4 index interannual variability, while the solenoidal component determines its long-term variability.</p>
</abstract>
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