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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2349</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Towards a process-based estimation of global lake methane emissions using LAKE2.6</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Xinyu</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0001-5384-0957</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Peng</surname>
<given-names>Shushi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5098-726X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Stepanenko</surname>
<given-names>Victor M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liu</surname>
<given-names>Liu</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff5">
<sup>5</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhu</surname>
<given-names>Dan</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5857-1899</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing,  China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Southwest United Graduate School, Kunming, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Moscow Center of Fundamental and Applied Mathematics, Moscow, Russia</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff5">
<label>5</label>
<addr-line>Yunnan Key Laboratory of Plateau Geographical Processes and Environmental Changes, Faculty of Geography, Yunnan  Normal University, Kunming, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>10</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>37</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Xinyu Li et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2349/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2349/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2349/egusphere-2026-2349.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2349/egusphere-2026-2349.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>While lakes play an important role in global methane (CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt;) budget, the present meta-analysis based global estimates produce large uncertainties (16.5 to 185 Tg CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt;), which were often due to lacking sufficient geographical and spatio-temporal representations. Here, we applied a one-dimensional process-based CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; emission model (LAKE2.6) to simulate global lake CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; emissions. We first calibrated the model in 10 boreal and temperate lakes and 5 tropical (24 &amp;deg;S&amp;ndash;24 &amp;deg;N) lakes with continuous flux observations spanning 2 months to 8 years, and subsequently proposed a novel parameterization scheme for global lake CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; simulation based on these site-level calibrations. For global model validation, flux observations in 155 lakes from boreal and temperate regions and 21 lakes from tropical regions were collected, ranging in depth from 0.1 to 572 m and in size from 6 m&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt; to 67,075 km&lt;sup&gt;2&lt;/sup&gt;. We found that simulated CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; fluxes in 85 % of boreal and temperate lakes and 38 % of tropical lakes were consistent with observations, with relative biases within &amp;plusmn;50 %. Based on these model calibration and validation results, we established a global parameterization framework and applied it to simulate global CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; simulations. Our estimates show that global lakes (&amp;gt;10 ha) emitted 17.7&amp;ndash;20.1 Tg CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; yr&lt;sup&gt;-1&lt;/sup&gt; during the period 1979&amp;ndash;2023. This approach improves the reliability of model extrapolations from site-level measurements to the global-scale, thus strengthening our ability to assess historical and future changes in global lake CH&lt;sub&gt;4&lt;/sub&gt; emissions.</p>
</abstract>
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