<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!DOCTYPE article PUBLIC "-//NLM//DTD Journal Publishing DTD v3.0 20080202//EN" "https://jats.nlm.nih.gov/nlm-dtd/publishing/3.0/journalpublishing3.dtd">
<article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" article-type="research-article" specific-use="SMUR" dtd-version="3.0" xml:lang="en">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2335</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Global-scale drought propagation and the drivers and patterns of multi-year groundwater drought</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Salwey</surname>
<given-names>Saskia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2100-3142</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hauswirth</surname>
<given-names>Sandra</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9208-1757</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Ruijsch</surname>
<given-names>Denise</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0003-9470-2723</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van Jaarsveld</surname>
<given-names>Barry</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5154-5922</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>van Mourik</surname>
<given-names>Jonna</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0009-0006-3733-6407</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wanders</surname>
<given-names>Niko</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7102-5454</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Physical Geography, Faculty of Geosciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>29</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>24</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Saskia Salwey et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2335/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2335/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2335/egusphere-2026-2335.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2335/egusphere-2026-2335.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Groundwater stores a third of all global freshwater and supports water supply, irrigation and ecosystems across the world. As such, groundwater drought can have wide-reaching financial, social and environmental impacts, particularly when drought events are prolonged or multi-year. Although recent work has made significant progress in understanding the drivers and patterns of multi-year meteorological droughts, we do not know how this signal translates into multi-year groundwater drought, where subsurface processes, anthropogenic influences and abstractions can alter the meteorological signal. This is particularly true at the global-scale, where a major barrier to understanding large-scale groundwater drought dynamics is the difficulty of obtaining consistent and comprehensive groundwater data. In this research, we use a new global hyper-resolution (&amp;sim;1 km) groundwater dataset to investigate the global patterns and drivers of groundwater drought from 1960&lt;span&gt;&amp;ndash;&lt;/span&gt;2019, with a specific focus on multi-year events. We start by characterizing the propagation of meteorological (represented by SPEI-12) to groundwater drought, evaluating how and to what extent the sub-surface plays a role in modulating the meteorological drought signal. Subsequently, we define three global groundwater response types that provide a framework for understanding the processes and geo-physical drivers of normal versus multi-year groundwater droughts. We find that 35 % of the world has an average groundwater drought duration which is multi-year. In 83 % of these locations, the subsurface extends the meteorological drought signal, whereas in the remaining 17 %, groundwater drought duration appears to be primarily driven by meteorological anomalies. Our analysis offers new insights into global-scale drought exposure by identifying regions which have been most vulnerable to multi-year groundwater drought in the past, as well as those which might be more vulnerable in the future. Importantly, our typology also highlights areas where multi-year groundwater droughts can be anticipated based on meteorological drought anomalies and can therefore inform strategies for managing and mitigating future water scarcity risks.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="24"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>European Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>101075354</award-id>
<award-id>101019185</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Nederlandse Organisatie voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek</funding-source>
<award-id>VI.Vidi.223.009</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
<body/>
<back>
</back>
</article>