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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2299</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>CIR Process Age Inference Algorithm v1.0: scalable and consistent sedimentation rate modeling for ocean sediment cores via the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lee</surname>
<given-names>Taehee</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lisiecki</surname>
<given-names>Lorraine E.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7859-0096</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Newall</surname>
<given-names>Samuel R.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhou</surname>
<given-names>Yuxin</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lawrence</surname>
<given-names>Charles E.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth, Environmental &amp; Planetary Sciences, Brown University</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Department of Earth Science, University of California, Santa Barbara</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Division of Applied Mathematics, Brown University</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>24</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>41</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Taehee Lee et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2299/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2299/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2299/egusphere-2026-2299.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2299/egusphere-2026-2299.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Deep-sea sediment cores provide a key archive of past climate, with geochemical measurements of microfossils providing both environmental information and age constraints; however, constructing continuous age-depth models is challenging due to sparse and uncertain direct dating (e.g., radiocarbon up to 50 kyr BP) and the need to integrate more densely sampled but indirect proxies such as benthic &amp;delta;&lt;sup&gt;18&lt;/sup&gt;O, which requires pattern alignment to reference stacks while maintaining physically plausible sediment rates. Bayesian frameworks have therefore become standard, with approaches such as BACON (Blaauw and Christen, 2011) that models inverse sedimentation rates via an autoregressive gamma process and BIGMACS (Lee et al., 2023) that integrates both direct and indirect constraints through probabilistic alignment and empirically informed priors. Despite their practical utilities, these method exhibit key limitations: BACON relies heavily on user-specified hyperparameters that are not statistically inferred from the data, while BIGMACS could employ a sedimentation-rate model defined on uneven depth grids, potentially leading to inconsistent smoothness and sensitivity to proxy resolution. Here we propose the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) Process Age Inference Algorithm to tackle the aforementioned limitations. This multi-layer Bayesian hierarchical framework employs the CIR process as a prior on the inverse sedimentation rates to guarantee a consistent smoothness over depths to address the drawback of BIGMACS, and it allows estimation of the CIR process model parameters via the Expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm. To validate our framework, we first estimated the model parameters from a carefully curated dataset of 79 radiocarbon records, and then applied the algorithm to four other radiocarbon-dated benthic &amp;delta;&lt;sup&gt;18&lt;/sup&gt;O sediment core records to compare the performance to BIGMACS. The resulting age models not only show greater consistency and robustness but also preserve smoothness of posterior sedimentation rates over depths and successfully avoid alignment artifacts.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Science Foundation</funding-source>
<award-id>NSF-OCE 2410906</award-id>
<award-id>NSF-OCE 2508421</award-id>
<award-id>NSF-OCE 2508422</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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