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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-2184</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Extended TCKF1D-Var framework for Mie&amp;ndash;Raman Lidar Water Vapor Profiling in the Nocturnal Boundary Layer: Insights into Pre-precipitation Moisture Evolution</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Qi</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3723-222X</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Chen</surname>
<given-names>Tianmeng</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1564-7013</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Guo</surname>
<given-names>Jianping</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8530-8976</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Key Open Laboratory of Intelligent Meteorological Observation Technology, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather Meteorological Science and Technology &amp; Specialized Meteorological Support Technology Research Center, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Engineering Technology Research and Development Center, China Huayun Meteorological Technology Group Co. Ltd., Beijing 100081, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>23</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>29</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Qi Zhang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2184/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2184/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2184/egusphere-2026-2184.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-2184/egusphere-2026-2184.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Accurate characterization of boundary-layer water vapor prior to nocturnal heavy precipitation remains challenging due to limited observational capability. In this study, we build upon a previously developed and validated thermodynamic- and cloud-microphysics-constrained Kalman filter one-dimensional variational (TCKF1D-Var) framework by extending it to incorporate nitrogen and water vapor Raman channel observations from the China Meteorological Administration Mie&amp;ndash;Raman lidar (MRL) network. A physics-informed lidar observation operator based on the classical Raman lidar formulation is developed, together with a data-driven calibration component to account for time-varying instrumental and aerosol-related uncertainties. In addition, process and observation error covariance matrices are dynamically estimated within the Kalman filter framework to enhance retrieval robustness.&amp;nbsp;The method is evaluated against co-located radiosonde observations launched prior to nocturnal heavy precipitation events at 56 MRL&amp;ndash;radiosonde co-located stations across China in 2025. The retrieved water vapor mass mixing ratio profiles, with a vertical resolution of 30 meters&amp;nbsp;and a temporal resolution of 30 minutes, exhibit consistently reduced mean bias and root mean square error compared to ERA5 prior profiles, with the largest improvements found in the 1.2&amp;ndash;3.0 km layer. Analysis of nocturnal heavy precipitation cases further demonstrates that the retrievals capture coherent pre-precipitation moisture evolution. These results highlight the potential of combining physically constrained retrieval frameworks with Raman lidar observations for improved monitoring of boundary-layer moisture.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="29"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Ministry of Science and Technology of the People&apos;s Republic of China</funding-source>
<award-id>2024YFC3013001</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>42325501</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences</funding-source>
<award-id>2024Z003</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs4">
<funding-source>Institute of Heavy Rain, China Meteorological Administration</funding-source>
<award-id>BYKJ2025M24</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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