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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-187</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Analysis of the Relationship between Official Rain-Praying Rituals and Droughts in China over the Past 2000 Years</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Shuo</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Su</surname>
<given-names>Yun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Pan</surname>
<given-names>Jingxue</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Zhang</surname>
<given-names>Nianjie</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Northeast Yucai School, Shenyang, 110164, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>19</day>
<month>02</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>30</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Shuo Wang et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-187/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-187/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-187/egusphere-2026-187.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-187/egusphere-2026-187.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Official rain-praying rituals, as an institutionalized cultural response to drought in ancient China, offer a crucial window into the evolution of state governance logic and disaster relief responses during climate crises. In this study, 1,825 official rain-praying records from the Western Han to the Qing dynasties were collated on the basis of the Twenty-Four Histories and the Qing Shigao, resulting in the construction of a long-term sequence with a ten-year resolution and a high-resolution annual sequence for the Ming and Qing periods. Sliding window correlation analysis was employed in combination with historical drought sequences to investigate long-term patterns of change. Functioning as a cultural disaster response indicator, this sequence, when integrated with other socioeconomic proxy indicators, enables a more comprehensive characterization of the climate change&amp;ndash;impact&amp;ndash;response process. The findings reveal that official rain-praying rituals exhibit a four-phase fluctuation pattern of low-high-low-high, with a significant nonlinear relationship between drought occurrence and such rituals. During the Han and Tang dynasties, rain-praying primarily constituted a direct response to environmental stress. In the Song and late Qing periods, confronted with crises of legitimacy amid internal turmoil and external threats, rulers favored high-frequency rain-praying to proclaim the mandate of heaven and pacify public sentiment, resulting in a strong correlation between rain-praying and drought. Conversely, during the Yuan and late Ming dynasties, influenced by ethnic cultural differences or the collapse of state administrative efficacy, a decoupling emerged whereby disasters occurred without corresponding rain-praying. Moreover, the Qing dynasty established systems of regular rain prayers and confidential memorials, transforming rain rituals from reactive disaster relief into proactive administrative routines. These rituals even exhibited a temporal lead over drought outbreaks, becoming institutionalized. During periods of relative fiscal abundance, state disaster responses prioritized substantive relief measures &amp;ndash; such as opening granaries for distribution and tax reductions &amp;ndash; over reliance on ceremonial rain prayers. As rulers&apos; focus shifted from celestial principles to pragmatic grain storage for famine relief, the frequency of rain-praying rituals also declined markedly. Research findings indicate that ancient Chinese official rain-praying rituals were not determined solely by climate but constituted a complex political process regulated by state capacity, demands for political legitimacy, and institutional sophistication.</p>
</abstract>
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