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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1849</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>Sea ice in the Barents and Kara Seas: models versus reanalyses</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Äijälä</surname>
<given-names>Cecilia</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3253-0578</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Gutiérrez-Loza</surname>
<given-names>Lucía</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1575-3796</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Dorn</surname>
<given-names>Wolfgang</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2071-9472</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3">
<sup>3</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Lauvset</surname>
<given-names>Siv K.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8498-4067</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Maslowski</surname>
<given-names>Wieslaw</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5790-9229</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff4">
<sup>4</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Uotila</surname>
<given-names>Petteri</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2939-7561</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>University of Helsinki, Institute for Atmospheric and Earth System Research / Physics, Helsinki, Finland</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>NORCE Research, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff3">
<label>3</label>
<addr-line>Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff4">
<label>4</label>
<addr-line>Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA, United States</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>09</day>
<month>04</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>31</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Cecilia Äijälä et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1849/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1849/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1849/egusphere-2026-1849.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1849/egusphere-2026-1849.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Satellite measurements indicate that the Barents and Kara Seas have experienced some of the most significant declines in sea ice concentration and an increase in sea surface temperature in the Arctic. Understanding the processes driving these changes is of utmost importance to assess the implications of climate change in the Arctic and globally. Given the observational limitations in these high-latitude areas, coupled models and reanalysis products play a key role. However, it is essential to better understand the strengths and limitations of such data products. Models are often evaluated on a pan-Arctic scale, but results might differ when considering sub-regions. This study examines two regional coupled ocean-atmosphere models (HIRHAM-NAOSIM 2.2 and RASM), two coupled model intercomparison project, phase 6 (CMIP6) models (CNRM-ESM2_1, NorESM2-MM), two regional ocean reanalyses (RARE 1.15.2 and TOPAZ 4B), one global reanalysis (ORAS5) and OSI-SAF satellite observations over the period 1991&amp;ndash;2020. We focus on spring (March&amp;ndash;April&amp;ndash;May) and autumn (August&amp;ndash;September&amp;ndash;October) sea ice area and sea ice concentration, the edge of the sea ice, and the temperature of the mixed layer. The results show a statistically significant decrease in sea ice area and sea ice concentration in the satellite measurements and in all reanalyses. However, only one of the coupled models, HIRHAM&amp;ndash;NAOSIM, exhibits a statistically significant sea ice decline in the Barents Sea, albeit weaker than in the reanalyses, and no coupled model shows a significant trend in the Kara Sea. Additionally, the reanalyses show a more pronounced warming of the mixed layer than the coupled models, particularly in autumn and in the Kara Sea.</p>
</abstract>
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<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Horizon 2020 Framework Programme</funding-source>
<award-id>101003590</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Research Council of Finland</funding-source>
<award-id>364876</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs3">
<funding-source>Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>268020496</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
</front>
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<back>
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