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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">EGUsphere</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>EGUsphere</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">EGUsphere</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub"></issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/egusphere-2026-1839</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>The Dominance and Future Variations of Background Ozone in China under Different Climate and Emission Scenarios</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Mengyun</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Yang</surname>
<given-names>Yang</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9008-5137</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Wang</surname>
<given-names>Pinya</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7034-7868</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Li</surname>
<given-names>Ke</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9181-3562</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Liao</surname>
<given-names>Hong</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2">
<sup>2</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>State Key Laboratory of Climate System Prediction and Risk Management/ Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control/ Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology/ Joint InternationalResearch Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="aff2">
<label>2</label>
<addr-line>School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>07</day>
<month>09</month>
<year>2026</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2026</volume>
<fpage>1</fpage>
<lpage>39</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2026 Mengyun Li et al.</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1839/">This article is available from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1839/</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1839/egusphere-2026-1839.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2026/egusphere-2026-1839/egusphere-2026-1839.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>Background ozone, defined as ozone present in the absence of domestic anthropogenic emissions, has become increasingly dominant of the total surface ozone in China as the domestic emissions decline. Using the GEOS-Chem model driven by meteorological fields from GCAP2.0, this study investigates the changes in China background ozone (CBO) from the present-day (PD) to the middle of the 21st century (MC) under the SSP1-1.9 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. CBO consistently dominates the total surface ozone in China (CTO), accounting for about 90 % of the annual mean ozone in both PD and MC conditions. Under SSP1-1.9, CTO declines by 4.7 ppbv from PD to MC, with CBO contributing 3.7 ppbv (79 %) of this reduction. The decrease in CBO is largely due to a sharp decline in transboundary transport of foreign pollution ozone (FPO, &amp;minus;4.7 ppbv) resulting from global emission reductions, partially offset by a climate-driven increase in natural background ozone (NBO, +1.0 ppbv). Under SSP5-8.5, the annual mean CTO increases by 7.3 ppbv, of which 6.5 ppbv is attributed to the rise in CBO. The increase is primarily driven by the enhancement of NBO, associated with intensified photochemical production under warmer conditions. We also show that in a low-emission future with controlled warming, the reduction in CBO strengthens climate mitigation and creates a positive climate-ozone feedback, along with health co-benefits. These contrasting trajectories reveal that background ozone is a dynamic component shaped by global cooperation and climate change, a reality that must be considered when setting air quality targets.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="39"/></counts>
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>National Natural Science Foundation of China</funding-source>
<award-id>grant 42475032</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
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